NEC Nijmegen at Heerenveen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

32.4%27.0%40.6%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawHeerenveen Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.33
0Final Score 1

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
L 0-2 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 3-3 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 1-0 at Utrecht
L 3-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Almere City
L 1-3 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 1-3 vs Willem II
L 0-2 at Utrecht
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+203+227+215+200+212+200+227+215.7
Heerenveen+125+117+115+121+115+121+121+132.6
Draw+277+265+245+275+264+275+275+294.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen-----+215.7
Heerenveen-----+132.6
Draw-----+294.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +225 to +215
Heerenveen ML moved from +100 to -104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3+116o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-119o2¾-120o3+116o2¾-109
Underu3-122u3-137u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾-101u2¾+100u2¾+101u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.39%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 413.19%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.79%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.54%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 031.57%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 026.57%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.74%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 058.64%
Exactly 131.30%
Exactly 28.35%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 054.13%
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 210.19%
Exactly 32.09%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals13.15%
Wins by 3+ goals4.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals18.50%
Wins by 3+ goals6.58%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal19.20%
Wins by 2 goals9.01%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal22.07%
Wins by 2 goals11.92%
Wins by 3 goals4.71%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.61%8.39%
1.570.82%29.18%
2.545.06%54.94%
3.523.78%76.22%
4.510.60%89.40%
5.54.06%95.94%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.43%31.57%
1.532.03%67.97%
2.511.05%88.95%
3.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.43%26.57%
1.538.22%61.78%
2.514.88%85.12%
3.54.57%95.43%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.26%31.74%
1.531.83%68.17%
2.510.93%89.07%
3.52.94%97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
8.39%
11.12%
7.37%
3.26%
1.08%
0.29%
1
9.67%
12.82%
8.50%
3.75%
1.24%
0.33%
2
5.57%
7.39%
4.90%
2.16%
0.72%
0.19%
3
2.14%
2.84%
1.88%
0.83%
0.28%
0.07%
4
0.62%
0.82%
0.54%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.19%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-09.67%
2-05.57%
2-17.39%
3-02.14%
3-12.84%
3-21.88%
4-00.62%
4-10.82%
4-20.54%
4-30.24%
5-00.14%
5-10.19%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.39%
1-112.82%
2-24.90%
3-30.83%
Heerenveen
0-111.12%
0-27.37%
1-28.50%
0-33.26%
1-33.75%
2-32.16%
0-41.08%
1-41.24%
2-40.72%
3-40.28%
0-50.29%
1-50.33%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
31.74%
19.48%
5.98%
1.22%
0.19%
1
16.94%
10.40%
3.19%
0.65%
0.10%
2
4.52%
2.78%
0.85%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.80%
0.49%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-016.94%
2-04.52%
2-12.78%
3-00.80%
3-10.49%
3-20.15%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-031.74%
1-110.40%
2-20.85%
Heerenveen
0-119.48%
0-25.98%
1-23.19%
0-31.22%
1-30.65%
2-30.17%
0-40.19%
1-40.10%