AZ Alkmaar at Heerenveen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

56.3%19.9%23.9%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawHeerenveen Win
2.10Projected Goals 0.89
3Final Score 1

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 0-1 at RKC Waalwijk-150
W 0-5 vs Heracles Almelo-170
T 0-0 at Groningen-160
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-350
W 3-1 at RKC Waalwijk-260
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 2-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-165
W 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+155
L 2-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+210
L 1-3 at Emmen+230
T 0-0 vs Utrecht+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-115--115-115--119-115-
Heerenveen+290-+285+305-+305+305-
Draw+285-+275+265-+265+275-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-105-----110-110-
Heerenveen+285----+280+280-
Draw+260----+280+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -113 to -119
Heerenveen ML moved from +300 to +290

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +105 to -110
Heerenveen ML moved from +270 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o2¾-125o3+114-o3+114o3+114-
Underu3-125-u2¾+105u3-134-u3-134u2¾+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-120
The Under moved from u3-110 to u2¾+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.03%
Exactly 222.48%
Exactly 416.74%
Exactly 64.99%
Exactly 80.80%
 
Exactly 115.04%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.01%
Exactly 72.13%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 012.26%
Exactly 125.73%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.89%
Exactly 49.91%
Exactly 54.16%
Exactly 61.46%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 041.03%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.28%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.05%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 311.07%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 037.84%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.87%
Exactly 35.79%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 066.20%
Exactly 127.30%
Exactly 25.63%
Exactly 30.77%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals41.15%
Wins by 3+ goals21.33%
Wins by 4+ goals9.21%
Wins by 5+ goals3.36%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals4.69%
Wins by 3+ goals1.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals19.82%
Wins by 3 goals12.13%
Wins by 4 goals5.85%
Wins by 5 goals2.32%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal10.20%
Wins by 2 goals3.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.97%5.03%
1.579.93%20.07%
2.557.45%42.55%
3.535.04%64.96%
4.518.30%81.70%
5.58.29%91.71%
6.53.30%96.70%
7.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.74%12.26%
1.562.01%37.99%
2.535.00%65.00%
3.516.11%83.89%
4.56.20%93.80%
5.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.97%41.03%
1.522.41%77.59%
2.56.13%93.87%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.95%25.05%
1.540.27%59.73%
2.516.27%83.73%
3.55.20%94.80%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
5.03%
4.48%
2.00%
0.59%
0.13%
1
10.56%
9.41%
4.19%
1.24%
0.28%
2
11.08%
9.87%
4.40%
1.31%
0.29%
3
7.75%
6.90%
3.08%
0.91%
0.20%
4
4.07%
3.62%
1.61%
0.48%
0.11%
5
1.71%
1.52%
0.68%
0.20%
0.04%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.56%
2-011.08%
2-19.87%
3-07.75%
3-16.90%
3-23.08%
4-04.07%
4-13.62%
4-21.61%
4-30.48%
5-01.71%
5-11.52%
5-20.68%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.03%
1-19.41%
2-24.40%
3-30.91%
4-40.11%
Heerenveen
0-14.48%
0-22.00%
1-24.19%
0-30.59%
1-31.24%
2-31.31%
0-40.13%
1-40.28%
2-40.29%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
25.05%
10.33%
2.13%
0.29%
1
24.35%
10.04%
2.07%
0.28%
2
11.83%
4.88%
1.01%
0.14%
3
3.83%
1.58%
0.33%
0.04%
4
0.93%
0.38%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-024.35%
2-011.83%
2-14.88%
3-03.83%
3-11.58%
3-20.33%
4-00.93%
4-10.38%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-025.05%
1-110.04%
2-21.01%
Heerenveen
0-110.33%
0-22.13%
1-22.07%
0-30.29%
1-30.28%
2-30.14%