Heracles Almelo at Sparta R'dam

Updated

Heracles Almelo

29.9%24.2%45.9%
Heracles Almelo WinDrawSparta R'dam Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.68
1Final Score 1

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 2-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+450
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+410
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord+265
T 1-1 at Twente+165
W 0-4 vs VVV-Venlo-140
Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 0-4 at Utrecht+475
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+370
W 2-1 at Heerenveen+110
T 0-0 vs Utrecht+205
W 0-3 vs Vitesse+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+239-+265+270+300+270+300-
Sparta R'dam+108-+105+105+102+105+105-
Draw+252-+240+250+218+250+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+255----+270+270-
Sparta R'dam+125----+105+105-
Draw+210----+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +311 to +300
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +103 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +255 to +235
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +125 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2½-110o2½-103-o2½-103o2½-103-
Underu2½-115-u2½-110u2½-117-u2½-117u2½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.21%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 415.43%
Exactly 63.97%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.25%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.58%
Exactly 71.58%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 033.40%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.08%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 018.59%
Exactly 131.28%
Exactly 226.31%
Exactly 314.76%
Exactly 46.21%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.61%
Exactly 222.86%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 39.81%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 060.18%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 045.88%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 213.92%
Exactly 33.62%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals9.33%
Wins by 3+ goals2.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals27.48%
Wins by 3+ goals11.87%
Wins by 4+ goals4.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal15.35%
Wins by 2 goals6.63%
Wins by 3 goals2.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal23.55%
Wins by 2 goals15.61%
Wins by 3 goals7.67%
Wins by 4 goals2.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.79%6.21%
1.576.54%23.46%
2.552.56%47.44%
3.530.35%69.65%
4.514.91%85.09%
5.56.33%93.67%
6.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.60%33.40%
1.529.98%70.02%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.41%18.59%
1.550.13%49.87%
2.523.82%76.18%
3.59.06%90.94%
4.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.39%27.61%
1.536.85%63.15%
2.513.99%86.01%
3.54.18%95.82%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam
Score012345
0
6.21%
10.45%
8.79%
4.93%
2.07%
0.70%
1
6.81%
11.46%
9.64%
5.41%
2.27%
0.77%
2
3.73%
6.28%
5.29%
2.96%
1.25%
0.42%
3
1.36%
2.30%
1.93%
1.08%
0.46%
0.15%
4
0.37%
0.63%
0.53%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
Heracles Almelo
1-06.81%
2-03.73%
2-16.28%
3-01.36%
3-12.30%
3-21.93%
4-00.37%
4-10.63%
4-20.53%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-06.21%
1-111.46%
2-25.29%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-110.45%
0-28.79%
1-29.64%
0-34.93%
1-35.41%
2-32.96%
0-42.07%
1-42.27%
2-41.25%
3-40.46%
0-50.70%
1-50.77%
2-50.42%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam
Score01234
0
27.61%
21.51%
8.38%
2.18%
0.42%
1
14.02%
10.92%
4.26%
1.10%
0.22%
2
3.56%
2.77%
1.08%
0.28%
0.05%
3
0.60%
0.47%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-014.02%
2-03.56%
2-12.77%
3-00.60%
3-10.47%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-027.61%
1-110.92%
2-21.08%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-121.51%
0-28.38%
1-24.26%
0-32.18%
1-31.10%
2-30.28%
0-40.42%
1-40.22%