NAC Breda at Groningen

Updated

NAC Breda

10.1%14.8%75.1%
WinDrawGroningen Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.68
1Final Score 4

Groningen

Last Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
Groningen
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+210
L 0-6 at Vitesse+600
T 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles+410
L 1-2 at RKC Waalwijk+295
L 2-1 vs Utrecht+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+320+419+420+395+435+400+435+425.8
Groningen-130-148-160-147-149-147-147-130.4
Draw+270+299+280+295+290+290+299+310.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+350----+420+420+425.8
Groningen-140-----160-160-130.4
Draw+305----+315+315+310.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Groningen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 10.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +444 to +435
Groningen ML moved from -145 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Groningen: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML
Groningen ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o2½-134o2¾-105o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾+107
Underu3-108u2½+114u2¾-115u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-115u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%
 
No44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.79%
Exactly 217.87%
Exactly 419.08%
Exactly 68.14%
Exactly 81.86%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.99%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 513.65%
Exactly 74.16%
Exactly 90.74%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 040.80%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.40%
Exactly 34.90%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 06.84%
Exactly 118.35%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 63.54%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 80.45%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.07%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 45.99%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.60%
Exactly 314.46%
Exactly 51.99%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 066.03%
Exactly 127.41%
Exactly 25.69%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 028.88%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals3.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals54.18%
Wins by 3+ goals33.25%
Wins by 4+ goals17.39%
Wins by 5+ goals7.82%
Wins by 6+ goals3.05%
Wins by 7+ goals1.03%
Wins by 8+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Groningen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal6.99%
Wins by 2 goals2.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal20.91%
Wins by 2 goals20.94%
Wins by 3 goals15.86%
Wins by 4 goals9.57%
Wins by 5 goals4.77%
Wins by 6 goals2.02%
Wins by 7 goals0.74%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.21%2.79%
1.587.22%12.78%
2.569.35%30.65%
3.548.03%51.97%
4.528.95%71.05%
5.515.30%84.70%
6.57.15%92.85%
7.52.99%97.01%
8.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.20%40.80%
1.522.62%77.38%
2.56.23%93.77%
3.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.16%6.84%
1.574.81%25.19%
2.550.20%49.80%
3.528.20%71.80%
4.513.45%86.55%
5.55.53%94.47%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.93%19.07%
1.549.33%50.67%
2.523.15%76.85%
3.58.69%91.31%
4.52.70%97.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Groningen
Score012345
0
2.79%
7.49%
10.04%
8.98%
6.02%
3.23%
1
2.50%
6.71%
9.00%
8.05%
5.40%
2.89%
2
1.12%
3.01%
4.03%
3.61%
2.42%
1.30%
3
0.34%
0.90%
1.21%
1.08%
0.72%
0.39%
NAC Breda
1-02.50%
2-01.12%
2-13.01%
3-00.34%
3-10.90%
3-21.21%
Draw
0-02.79%
1-16.71%
2-24.03%
3-31.08%
4-40.16%
Groningen
0-17.49%
0-210.04%
1-29.00%
0-38.98%
1-38.05%
2-33.61%
0-46.02%
1-45.40%
2-42.42%
3-40.72%
0-53.23%
1-52.89%
2-51.30%
3-50.39%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Groningen
Score012345
0
19.07%
23.68%
14.71%
6.09%
1.89%
0.47%
1
7.92%
9.83%
6.10%
2.53%
0.78%
0.19%
2
1.64%
2.04%
1.27%
0.52%
0.16%
0.04%
3
0.23%
0.28%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-07.92%
2-01.64%
2-12.04%
3-00.23%
3-10.28%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-019.07%
1-19.83%
2-21.27%
Groningen
0-123.68%
0-214.71%
1-26.10%
0-36.09%
1-32.53%
2-30.52%
0-41.89%
1-40.78%
2-40.16%
0-50.47%
1-50.19%