AZ Alkmaar at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

52.2%23.7%24.1%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.74Projected Goals 1.11
2Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 0-0 at Almere City-140
L 1-0 vs Feyenoord+435
T 2-2 at Heerenveen+115
T 2-2 vs Zwolle-315
L 1-2 at Twente+325
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-4 at Utrecht+410
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen+125
W 1-0 at Volendam+105
T 0-0 at Almere City+200
L 2-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+120-119-130-126-127-126-119-113.3
Fortuna Sittard+221+381+390+385+403+385+403+409.0
Draw+265+246+230+250+251+250+251+267.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-115-----120-120-113.3
Fortuna Sittard+330----+375+375+409.0
Draw+255----+240+240+267.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -116 to -126
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +370 to +360

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -115 to -125
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +335 to +315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+104o2¼+102o2¼+104o2-140o2¼+113
Underu2½+114u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-124u2¼-120u2¼-124u2¼-120u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-124 to u2¼-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.1%
 
No44.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.81%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 415.87%
Exactly 64.28%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.53%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.03%
Exactly 71.74%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 017.54%
Exactly 130.53%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 315.42%
Exactly 46.71%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 033.12%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.78%
Exactly 223.24%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 044.67%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.50%
Exactly 33.90%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 059.95%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals28.70%
Wins by 3+ goals12.71%
Wins by 4+ goals4.62%
Wins by 5+ goals1.40%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals9.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals15.99%
Wins by 3 goals8.09%
Wins by 4 goals3.23%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal14.92%
Wins by 2 goals6.44%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.19%5.81%
1.577.66%22.34%
2.554.14%45.86%
3.531.82%68.18%
4.515.95%84.05%
5.56.92%93.08%
6.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.46%17.54%
1.551.92%48.08%
2.525.35%74.65%
3.59.93%90.07%
4.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.88%33.12%
1.530.29%69.71%
2.510.06%89.94%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.22%26.78%
1.537.94%62.06%
2.514.69%85.31%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
5.81%
6.42%
3.55%
1.31%
0.36%
1
10.11%
11.17%
6.17%
2.27%
0.63%
2
8.80%
9.72%
5.37%
1.98%
0.55%
3
5.11%
5.64%
3.12%
1.15%
0.32%
4
2.22%
2.46%
1.36%
0.50%
0.14%
5
0.77%
0.85%
0.47%
0.17%
0.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.11%
2-08.80%
2-19.72%
3-05.11%
3-15.64%
3-23.12%
4-02.22%
4-12.46%
4-21.36%
4-30.50%
5-00.77%
5-10.85%
5-20.47%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.81%
1-111.17%
2-25.37%
3-31.15%
4-40.14%
Fortuna Sittard
0-16.42%
0-23.55%
1-26.17%
0-31.31%
1-32.27%
2-31.98%
0-40.36%
1-40.63%
2-40.55%
3-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
26.78%
13.70%
3.51%
0.60%
1
21.58%
11.04%
2.83%
0.48%
2
8.70%
4.45%
1.14%
0.19%
3
2.34%
1.20%
0.31%
0.05%
4
0.47%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-021.58%
2-08.70%
2-14.45%
3-02.34%
3-11.20%
3-20.31%
4-00.47%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-026.78%
1-111.04%
2-21.14%
Fortuna Sittard
0-113.70%
0-23.51%
1-22.83%
0-30.60%
1-30.48%
2-30.19%
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