Groningen at Willem II

Updated

Groningen

36.8%28.7%34.5%
Groningen WinDrawWillem II Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.09
1Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen+105
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+950
T 0-0 vs Utrecht+225
W 2-1 at Cambuur+180
L 0-1 at Utrecht+525
Willem II
Money Line
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+140
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-115
W 3-0 at Vitesse+340
L 4-0 vs Feyenoord+425
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+160+220+225+240+223+220+240+239.6
Willem II+155+120+126+121+117+126+126+131.6
Draw+255+235+235+256+246+240+256+265.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+180----+225+225+239.6
Willem II+155----+120+120+131.6
Draw+230----+245+245+265.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 10.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +250 to +235
Willem II ML moved from +124 to +117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 30.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +200 to +185
Willem II ML moved from +160 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-110o2½-110o2½+104-o2½-110o2½+104o2½-101
Underu2½+102u2½-110u2½-110u2½-117-u2½-110u2½-110u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 320.00%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 031.37%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 033.67%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.32%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 058.46%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 060.41%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals15.60%
Wins by 3+ goals5.00%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals13.33%
Wins by 3+ goals3.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.78%
Wins by 2 goals10.60%
Wins by 3 goals3.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal20.45%
Wins by 2 goals9.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.70%34.30%
2.539.01%60.99%
3.519.02%80.98%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.63%31.37%
1.532.27%67.73%
2.511.18%88.82%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.33%33.67%
1.529.68%70.32%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.68%35.32%
1.527.93%72.07%
2.58.80%91.20%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Willem II
Score012345
0
10.56%
11.50%
6.26%
2.27%
0.62%
0.13%
1
12.24%
13.33%
7.26%
2.63%
0.72%
0.16%
2
7.10%
7.73%
4.21%
1.53%
0.42%
0.09%
3
2.74%
2.99%
1.63%
0.59%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.80%
0.87%
0.47%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-012.24%
2-07.10%
2-17.73%
3-02.74%
3-12.99%
3-21.63%
4-00.80%
4-10.87%
4-20.47%
4-30.17%
5-00.18%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.56%
1-113.33%
2-24.21%
3-30.59%
Willem II
0-111.50%
0-26.26%
1-27.26%
0-32.27%
1-32.63%
2-31.53%
0-40.62%
1-40.72%
2-40.42%
3-40.16%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Willem II
Score0123
0
35.32%
17.80%
4.49%
0.75%
1
18.96%
9.56%
2.41%
0.40%
2
5.09%
2.56%
0.65%
0.11%
3
0.91%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Groningen
1-018.96%
2-05.09%
2-12.56%
3-00.91%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-035.32%
1-19.56%
2-20.65%
Willem II
0-117.80%
0-24.49%
1-22.41%
0-30.75%
1-30.40%
2-30.11%
Fortuna Sittard at Heerenveen
Cambuur at Ajax