Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles 		16.1%
62.6%		21.4%
+610
-205
+600
-220
0.86
1.94		2.80
o2½-129
u2¾-112

RKC Waalwijk
Heracles Almelo 		27.5%
46.6%		25.9%
+340
-127
+355
-140
1.08
1.49		2.57
o2¾-117
u2¾+100

Heerenveen
Feyenoord 		7.6%
79.0%		13.4%
+1000
-366
+945
-400
0.74
2.72		3.46
o3-111
u3+103

Groningen
PSV Eindhoven 		3.7%
87.7%		8.5%
+1700
-697
+1725
-910
0.61
3.32		3.93
o3½-102
u3½-111

Twente
Fortuna Sittard 		57.8%
20.0%		22.2%
-116
+341
-125
+350
1.90
1.02		2.92
o2½-105
u2½-105

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar		9.3%
75.6%		15.1%
+485
-163
+500
-175
2
1		-1.80454-1.84049-2.37483
Ajax
Twente		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+143
+191
+145
+175
2
2		-1.29284-1.31908-1.36402
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen		22.1%
54.3%		23.6%
+185
+160
+170
+160
0
1		-0.98054-1.00761-0.61101
Feyenoord
Almere City		69.2%
12.4%		18.5%
-224
+760
-305
+770
4
1		-0.39063-0.33381-0.36863
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk		41.7%
31.1%		27.2%
-103
+290
-115
+300
3
0		-0.71198-0.67598-0.87560
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda		82.2%
6.9%		10.9%
-270
+706
-370
+900
3
0		-0.35432-0.29042-0.19567
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		42.1%
31.7%		26.2%
+185
+157
+165
+170
1
3		-0.98254-1.04276-1.14914
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen		31.5%
41.0%		27.5%
+200
+153
+190
+150
0
1		-0.96202-0.96748-0.89226
Heracles Almelo
Utrecht		10.2%
73.8%		16.1%
+563
-204
+600
-235
0
1		-0.43744-0.40386-0.30446
Almere City
RKC Waalwijk		32.6%
39.4%		27.9%
+160
+177
+160
+170
0
2		-1.05699-1.04120-0.93069
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen		19.7%
56.5%		23.8%
+300
+110
+335
-115
0
6		-0.75786-0.67495-0.57024
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		34.8%
38.0%		27.1%
+170
+177
+155
+170
4
1		-1.01344-0.98714-1.05486
Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles		14.9%
65.4%		19.7%
+508
-182
+425
-160
2
2		-1.53568-1.45013-1.62562
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard		30.5%
43.6%		25.9%
+251
+119
+255
+110
0
3		-0.81480-0.78858-0.83041
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord		14.4%
66.8%		18.8%
+460
-145
+460
-165
2
3		-0.54782-0.52373-0.40380
NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo		31.2%
44.3%		24.5%
+235
+125
+235
+120
0
2		-0.84323-0.83873-0.81371
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.