Zwolle at Ajax

Updated

Zwolle

4.1%9.2%86.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.61Projected Goals 3.18

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Fortuna Sittard+170
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+425
L 0-6 at PSV Eindhoven+2000
L 2-1 vs NAC Breda+100
T 1-1 at Heerenveen+370
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at Twente+145
W 2-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+200
W 2-0 at Feyenoord+285
W 0-1 vs Willem II-265
W 4-3 at Heracles Almelo-235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+1498+1526+1400+1400-+1400+1526+1469.5
Ajax-577-562-625-588--588-562-445.9
Draw+699+672+625+700-+700+700+737.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+1675----+1600+1600+1469.5
Ajax-750-----725-725-445.9
Draw+775----+775+775+737.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Zwolle: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1500 to +1400
Ajax ML moved from -600 to -625

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Zwolle: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1675 to +1600
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3½-102o3½-102o3½-109-o3½-109o3½-102o3½+101
Underu3½-109u3½-115u3½-118u3½-111-u3½-111u3½-111u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+101
Under-----u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.26%
Exactly 216.23%
Exactly 419.43%
Exactly 69.30%
Exactly 82.38%
Exactly 100.38%
 
Exactly 18.57%
Exactly 320.50%
Exactly 514.72%
Exactly 75.03%
Exactly 91.00%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 054.59%
Exactly 133.05%
Exactly 210.00%
Exactly 32.02%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.14%
Exactly 113.18%
Exactly 220.99%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 417.74%
Exactly 511.30%
Exactly 66.00%
Exactly 72.73%
Exactly 81.09%
Exactly 90.38%
Exactly 100.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.30%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 46.83%
Exactly 60.70%
 
Exactly 130.35%
Exactly 315.57%
Exactly 52.40%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 075.56%
Exactly 121.18%
Exactly 22.97%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 022.89%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 312.23%
Exactly 44.51%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals0.88%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals69.87%
Wins by 3+ goals49.03%
Wins by 4+ goals29.75%
Wins by 5+ goals15.67%
Wins by 6+ goals7.23%
Wins by 7+ goals2.94%
Wins by 8+ goals1.05%
Wins by 9+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal3.18%
Wins by 2 goals0.74%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal16.76%
Wins by 2 goals20.84%
Wins by 3 goals19.28%
Wins by 4 goals14.07%
Wins by 5 goals8.44%
Wins by 6 goals4.29%
Wins by 7 goals1.89%
Wins by 8 goals0.73%
Wins by 9 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.74%2.26%
1.589.17%10.83%
2.572.94%27.06%
3.552.44%47.56%
4.533.02%66.98%
5.518.29%81.71%
6.58.99%91.01%
7.53.96%96.04%
8.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.41%54.59%
1.512.37%87.63%
2.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.86%4.14%
1.582.67%17.33%
2.561.68%38.32%
3.539.40%60.60%
4.521.66%78.34%
5.510.36%89.64%
6.54.37%95.63%
7.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.70%17.30%
1.552.35%47.65%
2.525.73%74.27%
3.510.15%89.85%
4.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.26%
7.20%
11.46%
12.16%
9.68%
6.17%
1
1.37%
4.36%
6.94%
7.36%
5.86%
3.73%
2
0.41%
1.32%
2.10%
2.23%
1.77%
1.13%
Zwolle
1-01.37%
2-00.41%
2-11.32%
Draw
0-02.26%
1-14.36%
2-22.10%
3-30.45%
Ajax
0-17.20%
0-211.46%
1-26.94%
0-312.16%
1-37.36%
2-32.23%
0-49.68%
1-45.86%
2-41.77%
3-40.36%
0-56.17%
1-53.73%
2-51.13%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Ajax
Score0123456
0
17.30%
25.50%
18.80%
9.24%
3.41%
1.00%
0.25%
1
4.85%
7.15%
5.27%
2.59%
0.95%
0.28%
0.07%
2
0.68%
1.00%
0.74%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Zwolle
1-04.85%
2-00.68%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-017.30%
1-17.15%
2-20.74%
Ajax
0-125.50%
0-218.80%
1-25.27%
0-39.24%
1-32.59%
2-30.36%
0-43.41%
1-40.95%
2-40.13%
0-51.00%
1-50.28%
0-60.25%
NAC Breda at Willem II