Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles 		16.1%
62.6%		21.4%
+570
-180
+570
-200
0.86
1.94		2.80
o2½-119
u2½+106

RKC Waalwijk
Heracles Almelo 		27.5%
46.6%		25.9%
+348
-130
+345
-135
1.08
1.49		2.57
o2¾-115
u3-134

Heerenveen
Feyenoord 		7.6%
79.0%		13.4%
+1000
-356
+920
-370
0.74
2.72		3.46
o3-110
u3+103

Groningen
PSV Eindhoven 		3.7%
87.7%		8.5%
+1700
-667
+1650
-800
0.61
3.32		3.93
o3½-102
u3½-111

Twente
Fortuna Sittard 		57.8%
20.0%		22.2%
-116
+341
-125
+350
1.90
1.02		2.92
o2½-105
u2½-105

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax		39.2%
34.8%		26.0%
+154
+168
+130
+200
2
3		-1.02438-1.15103-1.05486
Twente
Willem II		64.7%
15.4%		20.0%
-141
+447
-155
+455
1
0		-0.56003-0.54775-0.43609
Ajax
Feyenoord		22.7%
54.1%		23.2%
+269
+105
+285
-105
2
0		-1.34458-1.39659-1.48069
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar		13.2%
68.6%		18.2%
+393
-137
+375
-145
2
2		-1.40336-1.43734-1.70254
Willem II
Ajax		6.4%
81.5%		12.1%
+690
-248
+700
-265
0
1		-0.37764-0.36993-0.20485
Heracles Almelo
Twente		5.1%
84.1%		10.9%
+1014
-407
+890
-390
0
5		-0.25873-0.27892-0.17360
Feyenoord
Utrecht		54.3%
22.7%		23.0%
-103
+282
-120
+295
2
0		-0.71715-0.65662-0.61077
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		21.2%
55.4%		23.4%
+194
+133
+190
+130
0
2		-0.88470-0.88160-0.59084
RKC Waalwijk
NAC Breda		35.8%
38.9%		25.3%
+421
-148
+400
-145
1
4		-0.55481-0.57481-0.94348
Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven		3.0%
89.8%		7.1%
+1616
-708
+2000
-1100
0
6		-0.16663-0.13699-0.10704
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard		22.0%
54.3%		23.7%
+277
+109
+310
-105
0
1		-0.77599-0.71803-0.61076
NEC Nijmegen
Almere City		37.9%
33.3%		28.8%
+144
+200
+140
+185
0
1		-1.13691-1.09919-1.10015
NAC Breda
Zwolle		24.9%
52.6%		22.5%
+311
-103
+285
+100
2
1		-1.44838-1.39647-1.39163
Utrecht
Groningen		42.8%
30.6%		26.6%
+154
+186
+115
+220
1
0		-0.96980-0.81577-0.84767
Ajax
Heracles Almelo		69.4%
12.4%		18.1%
-252
+632
-235
+565
4
3		-0.37356-0.40512-0.36462
Fortuna Sittard
Willem II		32.7%
41.0%		26.3%
+222
+140
+230
+120
0
0		-1.19991-1.27418-1.33709
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.