Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles 		16.1%
62.6%		21.4%
+610
-205
+570
-200
0.86
1.94		2.80
o2½-129
u2¾-112

RKC Waalwijk
Heracles Almelo 		27.5%
46.6%		25.9%
+340
-127
+345
-135
1.08
1.49		2.57
o2¾-117
u2¾+100

Heerenveen
Feyenoord 		7.6%
79.0%		13.4%
+1026
-378
+920
-370
0.74
2.72		3.46
o3-111
u3+103

Groningen
PSV Eindhoven 		3.7%
87.7%		8.5%
+1700
-686
+1650
-800
0.61
3.32		3.93
o3½-102
u3½-111

Twente
Fortuna Sittard 		57.8%
20.0%		22.2%
-116
+341
-125
+350
1.90
1.02		2.92
o2½-105
u2½-105

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
Go Ahead Eagles		67.2%
14.1%		18.7%
-104
+290
+100
+260
5
1		-0.70134-0.74360-0.39748
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		66.4%
14.3%		19.3%
-289
+740
-260
+635
2
2		-1.76697-1.69011-1.64351
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen		27.5%
46.2%		26.3%
+278
+100
+220
+115
0
3		-0.72048-0.81577-0.77117
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		50.1%
26.1%		23.7%
+107
+243
+115
+225
2
1		-0.76400-0.81482-0.69035
Almere City
Sparta Rotterdam		19.5%
57.0%		23.5%
+382
-133
+415
-165
2
2		-1.43297-1.49772-1.45013
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		44.4%
30.1%		25.5%
-123
+375
-130
+375
0
1		-1.58650-1.60664-1.20138
Groningen
Ajax		7.3%
79.0%		13.7%
+907
-339
+900
-375
1
3		-0.29077-0.28467-0.23571
Zwolle
Heerenveen		14.1%
66.7%		19.3%
+302
-118
+370
-150
1
1		-1.42933-1.47548-1.64641
Twente
Feyenoord		15.5%
64.7%		19.8%
+339
-127
+400
-155
1
2		-0.61615-0.54829-0.43546
Heracles Almelo
Go Ahead Eagles		19.4%
58.1%		22.5%
+456
-169
+400
-155
1
4		-0.49959-0.54829-0.54325
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht		18.2%
60.4%		21.4%
+721
-262
+700
-280
2
3		-0.35358-0.35637-0.50438
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven		5.0%
85.0%		10.0%
+1153
-480
+1150
-500
1
2		-0.22848-0.23231-0.16217
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda		48.0%
28.0%		24.0%
+145
+222
+155
+190
0
1		-1.18215-1.11301-1.27314
Willem II
Almere City		29.2%
43.9%		26.8%
+202
+157
+180
+160
1
0		-1.13840-1.07790-1.23100
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar		15.7%
64.7%		19.6%
+453
-166
+480
-180
2
1		-1.74962-1.80722-1.85030
Ajax
RKC Waalwijk		64.0%
15.9%		20.2%
-241
+583
-255
+625
2
0		-0.38537-0.38003-0.44672
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.