NEC Nijmegen at Utrecht

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

20.6%23.0%56.4%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawUtrecht Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.81
0Final Score 1

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen+105
W 5-2 at Volendam-165
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+105
T 2-2 at Ajax+470
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+130
Utrecht
Money Line
T 1-1 at Almere City+110
L 0-2 at Ajax+245
W 0-1 vs Heracles Almelo-265
W 1-0 at Twente+395
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+290+260+270+270+273+270+273+288.0
Utrecht-110+108-105+103+103+103+108+112.9
Draw+255+255+265+250+255+250+265+267.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+310----+280+280+288.0
Utrecht-115-----105-105+112.9
Draw+270----+265+265+267.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Utrecht: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +280 to +273
Utrecht ML moved from -102 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Utrecht: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +305 to +280
No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-125o2½-122o2½-122o2½-119o2½-122o2½-119o2½-111
Underu3-115u2½+107u2½+102u2½+102u2½+101u2½+102u2½+107u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-111
Under-----u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.05%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 415.61%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.97%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.76%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 036.94%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 016.38%
Exactly 129.63%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.16%
Exactly 47.31%
Exactly 52.65%
Exactly 60.80%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.29%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 063.06%
Exactly 129.08%
Exactly 26.70%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 043.27%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.18%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.17%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals32.15%
Wins by 3+ goals14.78%
Wins by 4+ goals5.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal13.35%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal24.26%
Wins by 2 goals17.36%
Wins by 3 goals9.20%
Wins by 4 goals3.83%
Wins by 5 goals1.31%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.95%6.05%
1.576.98%23.02%
2.553.17%46.83%
3.530.92%69.08%
4.515.31%84.69%
5.56.55%93.45%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.06%36.94%
1.526.27%73.73%
2.57.95%92.05%
3.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.62%16.38%
1.553.99%46.01%
2.527.18%72.82%
3.511.02%88.98%
4.53.71%96.29%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.71%27.29%
1.537.27%62.73%
2.514.26%85.74%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Score012345
0
6.05%
10.95%
9.90%
5.97%
2.70%
0.98%
1
6.03%
10.90%
9.86%
5.95%
2.69%
0.97%
2
3.00%
5.43%
4.91%
2.96%
1.34%
0.48%
3
1.00%
1.80%
1.63%
0.98%
0.44%
0.16%
4
0.25%
0.45%
0.41%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.03%
2-03.00%
2-15.43%
3-01.00%
3-11.80%
3-21.63%
4-00.25%
4-10.45%
4-20.41%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.05%
1-110.90%
2-24.91%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Utrecht
0-110.95%
0-29.90%
1-29.86%
0-35.97%
1-35.95%
2-32.96%
0-42.70%
1-42.69%
2-41.34%
3-40.44%
0-50.98%
1-50.97%
2-50.48%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Score01234
0
27.29%
22.86%
9.57%
2.67%
0.56%
1
12.58%
10.54%
4.41%
1.23%
0.26%
2
2.90%
2.43%
1.02%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.45%
0.37%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-012.58%
2-02.90%
2-12.43%
3-00.45%
3-10.37%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-027.29%
1-110.54%
2-21.02%
Utrecht
0-122.86%
0-29.57%
1-24.41%
0-32.67%
1-31.23%
2-30.28%
0-40.56%
1-40.26%
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