Excelsior at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Excelsior

4.4%10.2%85.4%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.57Projected Goals 3.00
0Final Score 5

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+175
L 4-1 vs Ajax+970
L 0-1 at Utrecht+650
W 0-2 vs Volendam+140
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+490
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
T 1-1 at Volendam-200
T 5-5 vs Utrecht-155
W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-115
W 1-3 vs Fortuna Sittard-390
W 2-0 at Heerenveen+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+1112+984+825+975-+975+984-
AZ Alkmaar-409-360-375-375--375-360-
Draw+549+505+475+500-+500+505-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+1035----+950+950-
AZ Alkmaar-415-----375-375-
Draw+535----+500+500-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +850 to +825
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -400 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +985 to +950
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -430 to -440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+107o3½+116o3¼-112o3¼-117-o3¼-117o3¼-112-
Underu3½-125u3½-136u3¼-108u3¼-103-u3¼-103u3½-136-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.4%
 
No58.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.81%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 419.06%
Exactly 68.10%
Exactly 81.84%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.05%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 513.61%
Exactly 74.13%
Exactly 90.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 056.39%
Exactly 132.31%
Exactly 29.25%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 04.99%
Exactly 114.96%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.79%
Exactly 510.07%
Exactly 65.03%
Exactly 72.15%
Exactly 80.81%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.14%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 45.96%
Exactly 60.54%
 
Exactly 131.65%
Exactly 314.42%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 076.70%
Exactly 120.35%
Exactly 22.70%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 024.96%
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 224.04%
Exactly 311.12%
Exactly 43.86%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals0.92%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals67.26%
Wins by 3+ goals45.63%
Wins by 4+ goals26.55%
Wins by 5+ goals13.32%
Wins by 6+ goals5.81%
Wins by 7+ goals2.19%
Wins by 8+ goals0.69%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal3.45%
Wins by 2 goals0.78%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal18.07%
Wins by 2 goals21.62%
Wins by 3 goals19.08%
Wins by 4 goals13.23%
Wins by 5 goals7.52%
Wins by 6 goals3.61%
Wins by 7 goals1.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.54%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.19%2.81%
1.587.14%12.86%
2.569.21%30.79%
3.547.86%52.14%
4.528.80%71.20%
5.515.19%84.81%
6.57.09%92.91%
7.52.96%97.04%
8.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.61%56.39%
1.511.31%88.69%
2.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.01%4.99%
1.580.05%19.95%
2.557.64%42.36%
3.535.23%64.77%
4.518.44%81.56%
5.58.37%91.63%
6.53.34%96.66%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.86%19.14%
1.549.21%50.79%
2.523.05%76.95%
3.58.63%91.37%
4.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
2.81%
8.43%
12.64%
12.63%
9.47%
5.68%
1
1.61%
4.83%
7.24%
7.24%
5.42%
3.25%
2
0.46%
1.38%
2.07%
2.07%
1.55%
0.93%
Excelsior
1-01.61%
2-00.46%
2-11.38%
Draw
0-02.81%
1-14.83%
2-22.07%
3-30.40%
AZ Alkmaar
0-18.43%
0-212.64%
1-27.24%
0-312.63%
1-37.24%
2-32.07%
0-49.47%
1-45.42%
2-41.55%
3-40.30%
0-55.68%
1-53.25%
2-50.93%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
19.14%
26.57%
18.44%
8.53%
2.96%
0.82%
0.19%
1
5.08%
7.05%
4.89%
2.26%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.67%
0.93%
0.65%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Excelsior
1-05.08%
2-00.67%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-019.14%
1-17.05%
2-20.65%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.57%
0-218.44%
1-24.89%
0-38.53%
1-32.26%
2-30.30%
0-42.96%
1-40.79%
2-40.10%
0-50.82%
1-50.22%
0-60.19%