Groningen at Ajax

Updated

Groningen

14.9%13.1%72.0%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.54Projected Goals 2.56
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 1 Game

Groningen
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+1110+1618+1700+1600+1683+1600+1700-
Ajax-455-714-750-714-840-714-714-
Draw+568+760+725+740+762+740+762-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+1050----+1100+1100-
Ajax-425-----425-425-
Draw+550----+540+540-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 50.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +1700 to +1600
Ajax ML moved from -714 to -769

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 50.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Ajax: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Ajax ML moved from -425 to -460

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½-106o3½-110o3½-110-o3½-110o3½-106-
Underu3½-120u3½-115u3½-110u3½-110-u3½-110u3½-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.1%
 
No61.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 65.53%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.00%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.72%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 058.77%
Exactly 131.24%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.69%
Exactly 119.73%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 413.87%
Exactly 57.12%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 80.36%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.84%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 078.19%
Exactly 119.24%
Exactly 22.37%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.50%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals1.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals59.70%
Wins by 3+ goals36.81%
Wins by 4+ goals19.12%
Wins by 5+ goals8.48%
Wins by 6+ goals3.24%
Wins by 7+ goals1.08%
Wins by 8+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal4.46%
Wins by 2 goals0.98%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.51%
Wins by 2 goals22.89%
Wins by 3 goals17.69%
Wins by 4 goals10.65%
Wins by 5 goals5.23%
Wins by 6 goals2.17%
Wins by 7 goals0.78%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.48%18.52%
2.559.81%40.19%
3.537.44%62.56%
4.520.12%79.88%
5.59.39%90.61%
6.53.86%96.14%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.23%58.77%
1.59.99%90.01%
2.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.31%7.69%
1.572.58%27.42%
2.547.27%52.73%
3.525.64%74.36%
4.511.77%88.23%
5.54.65%95.35%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.16%23.84%
1.541.97%58.03%
2.517.47%82.53%
3.55.76%94.24%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.52%
11.60%
14.87%
12.72%
8.15%
4.18%
1
2.40%
6.16%
7.90%
6.76%
4.33%
2.22%
2
0.64%
1.64%
2.10%
1.80%
1.15%
0.59%
3
0.11%
0.29%
0.37%
0.32%
0.20%
0.10%
Groningen
1-02.40%
2-00.64%
2-11.64%
3-00.11%
3-10.29%
3-20.37%
Draw
0-04.52%
1-16.16%
2-22.10%
3-30.32%
Ajax
0-111.60%
0-214.87%
1-27.90%
0-312.72%
1-36.76%
2-31.80%
0-48.15%
1-44.33%
2-41.15%
3-40.20%
0-54.18%
1-52.22%
2-50.59%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Ajax
Score012345
0
23.84%
28.32%
16.81%
6.66%
1.98%
0.47%
1
5.87%
6.97%
4.14%
1.64%
0.49%
0.12%
2
0.72%
0.86%
0.51%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
Groningen
1-05.87%
2-00.72%
2-10.86%
Draw
0-023.84%
1-16.97%
2-20.51%
Ajax
0-128.32%
0-216.81%
1-24.14%
0-36.66%
1-31.64%
2-30.20%
0-41.98%
1-40.49%
0-50.47%
1-50.12%