Denver at LA Chargers

Updated

Denver Broncos

(6-5)
Rank15
P/G21.4
PA/G16.6
35.5%64.5%
Denver WinLA Chargers Win
21.8Projected Points 25.7
24Final Score 7

Los Angeles Chargers

(7-3)
Rank11
P/G22.0
PA/G14.5
Rank15
P/G21.4
PA/G16.6
Rank11
P/G22.0
PA/G14.5

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.51210.2217

Justin Herbert

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.61210.5206

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 17-22 at Houston TexansDEN: Russell Wilson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+160
W 12-29 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • DEN: Russell Wilson-128
W 20-21 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Joshua Dobbs • DEN: Russell Wilson-145
W 24-22 at Buffalo BillsDEN: Russell Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen+320
W 9-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Russell Wilson+277
Los Angeles Chargers
Money Line
W 6-0 at New England PatriotsLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Bailey Zappe-210
L 20-10 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • LAC: Justin Herbert+150
L 20-23 at Green Bay PackersLAC: Justin Herbert • GB: Jordan Love-155
L 41-38 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • LAC: Justin Herbert+120
W 27-6 at New York JetsLAC: Justin Herbert • NYJ: Zach Wilson-170

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • CBKareem JacksonOut
  • RBSamaje PerineProbable

Los Angeles Chargers

Status
  • LBAmen OgbongbemigaOut
  • DLOtito OgbonniaOut
  • TENick VannettProbable
  • DBJa'Sir TaylorProbable
  • DEJoey BosaIR
  • TZack BaileyOut
  • LBChris Rumph IIIR
  • DBDeane LeonardOut
  • DLNick WilliamsProbable
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+140+150+135+155+140+155+155+162.3
LA Chargers-165-170-160-175-160-175-160-162.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+122+145+150+135+140+150+150+162.3
LA Chargers-145-165-170-160-160-180-160-162.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+3-108+3+102+3+100+3½-115+3-105+3½-115+3+102+3½-104
LA Chargers-3-108-3-118-3-120-3½-105-3-115-3½-105-3-115-3½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+3-110+3-110+3+105+3-110+3-110+3+100+3+105+3½-104
LA Chargers-3-110-3-110-3-125-3-110-3-110-3-120-3-110-3½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
LA Chargers Spread moved from -3-113 to -3-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
LA Chargers: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Denver: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
LA Chargers: 20.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +3-105 to +2½-115
LA Chargers Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-108o45½-108o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½-108o45½+100
Underu45½-108u45½-108u46-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-110u45½-105u45½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o46-110o45½-110o45½-110o45½+100
Underu45-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u45½-110u46-110u45½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-115 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½+100 to u45½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
Minnesota at Las Vegas
Buffalo at Kansas City