Atlanta at Detroit

Updated

Atlanta Falcons

(7-7)
Rank18
P/G20.9
PA/G24.4
36.5%63.5%
Atlanta WinDetroit Win
21.7Projected Points 25.1
6Final Score 20

Detroit Lions

(12-2)
Rank1
P/G32.8
PA/G20.1
Rank18
P/G20.9
PA/G24.4
Rank1
P/G32.8
PA/G20.1

Quarterbacks

Desmond Ridder

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.0210.421

Jared Goff

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.4211.541

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 24-25 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • ATL: Desmond Ridder-150
W 10-24 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Desmond Ridder-185
W 17-30 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Desmond Ridder-240
W 19-20 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: David Blough • ATL: Desmond Ridder-290
L 9-17 at Baltimore RavensATL: Desmond Ridder • BAL: Tyler Huntley+245
Detroit Lions
Money Line
L 37-31 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Geno Smith • DET: Jared Goff-210
W 21-20 at Kansas City ChiefsDET: Jared Goff • KC: Patrick Mahomes+180
W 20-16 at Green Bay PackersDET: Jared Goff • GB: Aaron Rodgers+232
W 10-41 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • DET: Jared Goff-210
L 23-37 at Carolina PanthersDET: Jared Goff • CAR: Sam Darnold-130

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • RBCordarrelle PattersonOut
  • LBTroy AndersenProbable
  • CBJeffrey OkudahProbable
  • LBBud DupreeProbable

Detroit Lions

Status
  • TTaylor DeckerOut
  • SKerby JosephOut
  • DEJosh PaschalIR
  • RBDavid MontgomeryOut
  • CBKhalil DorseyProbable
  • THalapoulivaati VaitaiOut
  • DBC.J. Gardner-JohnsonIR
  • CBEmmanuel MoseleyOut
  • WRJosh ReynoldsProbable
  • LBJames HoustonIR
  • WRAmon-Ra St. BrownProbable
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+170+150+155+150+145+150+155+157.4
Detroit-200-170-180-170-165-170-165-157.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+180+150+160+143+150+145+160+157.4
Detroit-210-170-180-170-170-170-170-157.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+6-108+3+107+3+100+3-103+3+100+3-103+3+107+3+106
Detroit-6-108-3-123-3-120-3-117-3-120-3-117-3-117-3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+6-110+3-110+3½-120+3½-115+3-101+3+100+3½-115+3+106
Detroit-6-110-3-110-3½+100-3½-105-3-119-3-120-3-110-3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Detroit: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Detroit Spread moved from -3-120 to -3-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Detroit: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Detroit: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Detroit: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
Detroit Spread moved from -3½+105 to -3½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-108o47½-108o47½-110o47½-105o47-110o47½-105o47½-105o47½+104
Underu45½-108u47½-108u47½-110u47½-115u47-110u47½-115u47½-108u47½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47½+104
Underu44½-110u47-110u47-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-115 to o48-105
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110
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