New England at Miami

Updated
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
40.8%59.2%
New England WinMiami Win
19.2Projected Points 22.4
7Final Score 20
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 17-47 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+205
L 24-33 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-230
W 10-50 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NE: Mac Jones-1400
L 33-21 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-110
L 17-27 at Indianapolis ColtsNE: Mac Jones • IND: Carson Wentz+105
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 24-33 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+220
L 3-34 at Tennessee TitansMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+150
W 20-3 at New Orleans SaintsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NO: Taysom Hill-160
W 24-31 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-450
W 9-20 vs New York GiantsNYG: Mike Glennon • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-300

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRTyquan ThorntonIR
  • WRTy MontgomeryProbable
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • KQuinn NordinUnknown
  • CBJoejuan WilliamsOut for Season
  • WRKristian WilkersonIR
  • OLIsaiah WynnProbable
  • DTDaniel EkualeUnknown
  • SJoshuah BledsoeOut
  • OLAndrew StueberUnknown
  • DERonnie PerkinsIR
  • CBShaun WadeOut

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • FBJohn LovettIR
  • CBNik NeedhamProbable
  • TEAdam ShaheenOut for Season
  • LBAndrew Van GinkelProbable
  • LBCalvin MunsonIR
  • CBByron JonesUnknown
  • FBAlec IngoldProbable
  • RBMyles GaskinProbable
  • RBChase EdmondsProbable
  • DTRaekwon DavisProbable
  • DBClayton FejedelemIR
  • CBEric RoweOut
  • CBTrill WilliamsOut for Season
  • LBBrennan ScarlettIR
  • WRJaylen WaddleProbable
  • TETanner ConnerOut
  • RBSalvon AhmedOut
SE 10 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)90°91°91°91°
Humidity64%60%59%59%
Precipitation3%3%3%3%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumidHumid
WindSE 10 mphSE 10 mphESE 11 mphESE 10 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+130+145+150+140+150+140+150+152.5
Miami-150-165-175-160-170-160-160-152.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+130+145+146+150+150+140+150+152.5
Miami-150-165-165-170-170-160-160-152.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-110+3+102+3-105+3-105+3-104+3-105+3+102+3+104
Miami-3-110-3-118-3-115-3-115-3-114-3-115-3-114-3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-110+3-110+3+100+3-110+3-101+3-110+3+100+3+104
Miami-3-110-3-110-3-120-3-110-3-119-3-110-3-110-3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3½-105 to +3-110
Miami Spread moved from -3-120 to -3-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Miami: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Miami Spread moved from -3-119 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o46½-108o46½-110o46-110o46½-109o46-110o46½-108o46½+100
Underu45-110u46½-108u46½-110u46-110u46½-109u46-110u46½-108u46½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o46½-110o46½-110o46½-110o46-110o46½-110o46-110o46½+100
Underu45-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½-110u46-110u46½-110u46½-110u46½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46-105 to o46½-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110