Kansas City at Denver

Updated
Rank1
P/G24.3
PA/G17.9
81.6%18.4%
Kansas City WinWin
30.0Projected Points 17.4
28Final Score 24
Rank16
P/G19.7
PA/G17.7
Rank1
P/G24.3
PA/G17.9
Rank16
P/G19.7
PA/G17.7

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.115287.03313

Drew Lock

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
59.7195.012

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 31-34 at Cincinnati BengalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CIN: Joe Burrow-180
W 10-36 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • KC: Patrick Mahomes-420
W 34-28 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert-165
W 9-48 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-420
W 9-22 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Teddy Bridgewater • KC: Patrick Mahomes-360
Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 13-34 at Los Angeles ChargersDEN: Teddy Bridgewater • LAC: Justin Herbert+312
L 13-17 at Las Vegas RaidersDEN: Drew Lock • VEG: Derek Carr-105
L 15-10 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • DEN: Teddy Bridgewater-145
W 10-38 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • DEN: Teddy Bridgewater-600
L 9-22 at Kansas City ChiefsDEN: Teddy Bridgewater • KC: Patrick Mahomes+340

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireOut
  • CBDeandre BakerOut
  • TLucas NiangOut for Season

Denver Broncos

Status
  • FBAndrew BeckIR
  • OLDalton RisnerIR
  • TBobby MassieOut
  • NTShelby HarrisProbable
  • CBBryce CallahanProbable
  • KBrandon McManusProbable
  • WRTim PatrickProbable
  • QBTeddy BridgewaterIR
  • LBKenny YoungOut
  • CBPat Surtain IIIR
  • LBBradley ChubbProbable
  • QBDrew LockProbable
  • DLDeShawn WilliamsIR
  • WRJerry JeudyProbable
  • PSam MartinProbable
  • CBKareem JacksonIR
  • CBRonald DarbyIR
  • CBNate HairstonOut
  • TENoah FantProbable
SSW 4 mph
Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)44°43°41°38°
Humidity47%48%52%70%
Precipitation6%6%5%6%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercast
WindSSW 4 mphSSW 3 mphS 6 mphSSE 5 mph
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-495-750-600-600-620-600-600-505.5
Denver+395+500+460+450+470+460+500+505.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-475-650-600-700-700-700-600-505.5
Denver+380+475+480+500+500+500+500+505.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3-120-12-115-11½-110-12½+100-11½-109-11½-110-12½+100-11+101
Denver+3+100+12-105+11½-110+12½-120+11½-109+11½-110+12-105+11-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-10½-110-12-110-11½-110-11½-110-12-110-11½-110-11½-110-11+101
Denver+10½-110+12-110+11½-110+11½-110+12-110+11½-110+12-110+11-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -12+103 to -12½+100
Denver Spread moved from +11-105 to +11½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -10-110 to -11-110
Denver Spread moved from +11½-110 to +10½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43-110o45-105o44½-110o45-110o44½-109o44½-110o45-105o45+100
Underu43-110u45-115u44½-110u45-110u44½-109u44½-110u45-110u45-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44½-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-110o45+100
Underu44½-110u45-110u45-110u44½-110u44½-110u44½-110u45-110u45-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u45-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-110 to o45-110
The Under moved from u45-110 to u44½-110