Buffalo at Kansas City

Updated
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
48.3%51.7%
Buffalo WinKansas City Win
25.0Projected Points 25.7
24Final Score 20
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
75.42307.072

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.02298.070

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 3-38 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Unknown • BUF: Josh Allen-850
W 23-20 at Baltimore RavensBUF: Josh Allen • BAL: Lamar Jackson-160
L 19-21 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-200
W 7-41 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • BUF: Josh Allen-430
W 31-10 at Los Angeles RamsBUF: Josh Allen • LAR: Matthew Stafford-125
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 29-30 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-320
W 41-31 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady+115
L 17-20 at Indianapolis ColtsKC: Patrick Mahomes • IND: Matt Ryan-210
W 24-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-200
W 44-21 at Arizona CardinalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ARI: Kyler Murray-250

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRJamison CrowderIR
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieProbable
  • TEDawson KnoxProbable
  • WRJake KumerowOut
  • TTommy DoyleOut for Season
  • LBTremaine EdmundsProbable
  • SMicah HydeIR
  • SJordan PoyerProbable
  • CBChristian BenfordProbable
  • RBTaiwan JonesProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • DEFrank ClarkProbable
  • SBryan CookOut
  • DTTershawn WhartonOut
  • KHarrison ButkerProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • DEMike DannaProbable
  • CBRashad FentonOut
NW 14 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°65°64°62°
Humidity32%36%37%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindNW 14 mphNW 15 mphNW 14 mphNNW 12 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-110-155-150-152-110-152-110-138.0
Kansas City-110+135+130+132-110+132+135+138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-130-160-150-150-155-150-150-138.0
Kansas City+110+140+131+130+135+130+140+138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+0-108-2½-118-3+100-2½-113+0-109-2½-113+0-109-2½-114
Kansas City+0-108+2½+102+3-120+2½-107+0-109+2½-107+2½+102+2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-2½-110-2½-110-2½-120-3+100-2½-119-2½-120-2½-110-2½-114
Kansas City+2½-110+2½-110+2½+100+3-120+2½-101+2½+100+2½+100+2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 60.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +0-110 to -2-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-108o54½-108o54-110o54-110o53½-109o54-110o53½-109o54+100
Underu53½-108u54½-108u54-110u54-110u53½-109u54-110u54½-108u54+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo54-110o54½-110o54-110o54-110o55-110o54½-110o54-110o54+100
Underu54-110u54½-110u54-110u54-110u55-110u54½-110u55-110u54+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54-110 to o54-113
The Under moved from u54-107 to u54-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-110 to o55-110
The Under moved from u54½-110 to u54-110