Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
69.4%30.6%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
26.0Projected Points 20.5
24Final Score 10
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank31
P/G17.0
PA/G24.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.911289.02311

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.28221.067

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 28-25 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff-450
W 23-31 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Unknown • BUF: Unknown-350
L 33-30 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • BUF: Josh Allen-260
L 17-20 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Zach Wilson-525
W 17-27 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • BUF: Josh Allen-484
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 26-33 at Minnesota VikingsNE: Mac Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins+130
W 3-10 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • NE: Mac Jones-170
W 3-26 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Sam Ehlinger • NE: Mac Jones-210
W 22-17 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-155
L 33-14 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • NE: Bailey Zappe-380

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • CMitch MorseProbable
  • WRJake KumerowIR
  • DEA.J. EpenesaProbable
  • CBDane JacksonProbable
  • TEQuintin MorrisOut
  • TDion DawkinsOut
  • SJaquan JohnsonProbable
  • LBVon MillerIR
  • CBKaiir ElamOut
  • WRKhalil ShakirProbable
  • LBTremaine EdmundsProbable
  • SDamar HamlinProbable
  • DEGregory RousseauProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • DBJabrill PeppersProbable
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • OLMarcus CannonIR
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • CBJalen MillsOut
  • CDavid AndrewsProbable
  • OLYodny CajusteOut
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreIR
  • OLIsaiah WynnOut
W 9 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)35°34°33°33°
Humidity65%67%70%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 9 mphW 8 mphW 7 mphW 7 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-240-210-210-207-205-207-205-183.5
New England+200+180+175+177+173+177+180+183.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-240-200-200-200-210-200-200-183.5
New England+200+175+176+175+180+175+180+183.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-5½-110-4-108-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-108-4+100
New England+5½-110+4-108+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-108+4+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-5½-110-3½-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-3½-110-3½-110-4+100
New England+5½-110+3½-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+3½-110+4-110+4+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -5½-105 to -5½-115
New England Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3½-105 to -4-110
New England Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o44-108o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-108o44+100
Underu45-110u44-108u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-108u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o43½-110o43½-110o44-110o44-110o43½-110o43½-110o44+100
Underu45½-110u43½-110u43½-110u44-110u44-110u43½-110u44-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-113 to o44-110
The Under moved from u44-113 to u43½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-110 to o44-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110