New Orleans at Minnesota

Updated

New Orleans Saints

(4-7)
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
60.3%39.7%
New Orleans WinMinnesota Win
23.0Projected Points 19.6
19Final Score 27

Minnesota Vikings

(8-2)
Rank4
P/G24.4
PA/G17.0
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
Rank4
P/G24.4
PA/G17.0

Quarterbacks

Derek Carr

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.5910.2104

Joshua Dobbs

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.289.2105

Last 5 Games

New Orleans Saints
Money Line
W 17-24 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Tyson Bagent • NO: Derek Carr-440
W 38-27 at Indianapolis ColtsNO: Derek Carr • IND: Gardner Minshew II-130
L 31-24 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NO: Derek Carr-138
L 13-20 at Houston TexansNO: Derek Carr • HOU: C.J. Stroud-126
W 34-0 at New England PatriotsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones+115
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
W 31-28 at Atlanta FalconsMIN: Jaren Hall • ATL: Taylor Heinicke+168
W 24-10 at Green Bay PackersMIN: Kirk Cousins • GB: Jordan Love-105
W 17-22 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • MIN: Kirk Cousins+272
W 19-13 at Chicago BearsMIN: Kirk Cousins • CHI: Justin Fields-157
L 27-20 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIN: Kirk Cousins+165

Injuries

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • RBKendre MillerOut
  • LBTy SummersProbable
  • FBAdam PrenticeProbable
  • DEIsaiah FoskeyOut

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • WRJustin JeffersonOut
  • GChris ReedProbable
  • QBKirk CousinsOut for Season
  • LBBrian AsamoahOut
  • TET.J. HockensonProbable
  • QBJosh DobbsNamed Starter
  • LBMarcus DavenportIR
  • RBCam AkersOut for Season
  • WRJalen NailorProbable
  • WRK.J. OsbornOut
  • QBJaren HallOut
  • DLDean LowryDoubtful
  • TChristian DarrisawProbable
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Adrian Hill
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans-135-155-150-152-155-152-150-139.9
Minnesota+115+135+130+132+135+132+135+139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans-135-150-152-160-150-155-150-139.9
Minnesota+115+130+133+135+130+135+135+139.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans-2½-108-3+102-3-105-3-105-3-110-3-105-3+102-3+104
Minnesota+2½-108+3-118+3-115+3-115+3-110+3-115+3-110+3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans-2½-110-3-110-3-105-3-110-3-105-3-110-3-105-3+104
Minnesota+2½-110+3-110+3-115+3-110+3-115+3-110+3-110+3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 10.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On New Orleans Spread
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 10.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New Orleans: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from -3-105 to -3-120
Minnesota Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38½-108o41-108o41-105o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½+100
Underu38½-108u41-108u41-115u40½-110u40½-110u40½-110u41-108u40½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41-110o41-110o40½-110o41-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½-110o40½+100
Underu41-110u41-110u40½-110u41-110u40½-110u40½-110u41-110u40½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-108 to o41-108
The Under moved from u41-108 to u40½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41-110 to u40½-110
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