Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(4-6)
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
69.0%31.0%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
28.7Projected Points 23.3
31Final Score 27

Atlanta Falcons

(6-4)
Rank15
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank15
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.813269.03011

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.713282.01911

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 14-26 vs Minnesota VikingsMIN: Kirk Cousins • TB: Tom Brady-304
L 27-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady+170
L 27-24 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Jared Goff • TB: Tom Brady-200
W 46-23 at Carolina PanthersTB: Tom Brady • CAR: Teddy Bridgewater-260
L 38-3 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Drew Brees • TB: Tom Brady-170
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 17-20 at Los Angeles ChargersATL: Matt Ryan • LAC: Justin Herbert+105
L 21-16 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Taysom Hill • ATL: Matt Ryan+130
W 6-43 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • ATL: Matt Ryan+170
L 9-24 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Matt Ryan • NO: Jameis Winston+170
W 27-34 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • ATL: Matt Ryan-200

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • TJoe HaegProbable
  • RBT.J. LoganOut for Season
  • CBJamel DeanProbable
  • LSZach TrinerProbable
  • RBRonald Jones IIOut
  • OLA.Q. ShipleyIR
  • PBradley PinionProbable
  • TDonovan SmithOut
  • KRyan SuccopProbable

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WROlamide ZaccheausIR
  • DTMarlon DavidsonOut
  • DBDarqueze DennardOut
  • TKaleb McGaryProbable
  • WRJulio JonesOut
  • GJames CarpenterProbable
  • DTGrady JarrettProbable
  • SRicardo AllenOut
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-122-280-280-265-275-280-265-
Atlanta+102+230+235+225+235+235+235-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-230-300-275-270-320-270-270-
Atlanta+200+250+237+230+240+230+250-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½-110-6½-105-6-110-7+120-6-109-6-110-7+120-
Atlanta+1½-110+6½-115+6-110+7-140+6-109+6-110+6½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½-110-6½-110-6-115-6-110-6-110-6-110-6-110-
Atlanta+1½-110+6½-110+6-105+6-110+6-110+6-110+6½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -7+113 to -7½+120
Atlanta Spread moved from +6½-115 to +6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -6-110 to -6½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from +6½-110 to +6-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-109o49½-110o49½-109-
Underu51-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-109u49½-110u49½-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51-110o49-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49½-110o49-110-
Underu51-110u49-110u49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u49½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-105 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u49½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-110 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u48½-110
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