New England at Las Vegas

Updated

New England Patriots

(3-8)
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
40.4%59.6%
New England WinLas Vegas Win
20.3Projected Points 23.4
17Final Score 21

Las Vegas Raiders

(2-8)
Rank31
P/G18.7
PA/G28.5
Rank30
P/G16.6
PA/G22.6
Rank31
P/G18.7
PA/G28.5

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.559.656

Jimmy Garoppolo

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.8410.767

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 34-0 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Derek Carr • NE: Mac Jones-128
L 3-38 at Dallas CowboysNE: Mac Jones • DAL: Dak Prescott+230
W 15-10 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-135
L 24-17 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones+115
L 25-20 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • NE: Mac Jones+170
Las Vegas Raiders
Money Line
W 13-17 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Jordan Love • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo-125
L 17-24 at Los Angeles ChargersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • LAC: Justin Herbert+240
L 23-18 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • VEG: Jimmy Garoppolo-155
L 10-38 at Buffalo BillsVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • BUF: Josh Allen+300
W 17-16 at Denver BroncosVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • DEN: Russell Wilson+141

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • OLTrent BrownProbable
  • OLMichael OnwenuProbable
  • DBJonathan JonesProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • GCole StrangeOut
  • DBMarcus JonesIR
  • CBShaun WadeProbable
  • LBJosh UcheProbable
  • OLRiley ReiffOut
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut for Season
  • LBMatt JudonIR
  • DBCody DavisOut
  • WRDemario DouglasOut
  • DETrey FlowersProbable
  • WRTyquan ThorntonProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • DTDaniel EkualeIR
  • DTDavon GodchauxProbable

Las Vegas Raiders

Status
  • CBJakorian BennettProbable
  • CBNate HobbsOut
  • DEChandler JonesOut
  • TJustin HerronOut
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+130+130+130+132+130+132+132+139.9
Las Vegas-150-150-150-152-150-152-150-139.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+115+135+131+130+135+130+135+139.9
Las Vegas-135-155-150-155-155-150-150-139.9

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+1½-108+3-108+3-120+3-123+3-120+3-123+3-108+3-112
Las Vegas-1½-108-3-108-3+100-3+103-3+100-3+103-3+103-3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+0-110+3-110+3-115+3-115+3-105+3-120+3-105+3-112
Las Vegas+0-110-3-110-3-105-3-105-3-115-3+100-3+100-3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +1-105 to +1-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3-115 to -3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

New England: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Las Vegas: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Las Vegas Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-108o42½-108o42-105o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu42½-108u42½-108u42-115u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u42½-108u41½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½-110o41½+100
Underu42½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½-110u41½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41½-110 to o42-105
The Under moved from u41½-105 to u41½-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o41-110 to o42-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-110
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