Chicago at Atlanta

Updated

Chicago Bears

(4-10)
Rank25
P/G19.0
PA/G22.0
39.1%60.9%
Chicago WinAtlanta Win
18.8Projected Points 22.0
24Final Score 27

Atlanta Falcons

(7-7)
Rank18
P/G20.9
PA/G24.4
Rank25
P/G19.0
PA/G22.0
Rank18
P/G20.9
PA/G24.4

Quarterbacks

Justin Fields

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
58.910149.0127

Marcus Mariota

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.910175.0127

Last 5 Games

Chicago Bears
Money Line
L 31-30 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • CHI: Justin Fields-150
L 35-32 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • CHI: Justin Fields+173
L 29-49 at Dallas CowboysCHI: Justin Fields • DAL: Dak Prescott+380
W 33-14 at New England PatriotsCHI: Justin Fields • NE: Bailey Zappe+335
L 12-7 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Carson Wentz • CHI: Justin Fields+105
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 15-25 at Carolina PanthersATL: Marcus Mariota • CAR: P.J. Walker-135
L 20-17 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • ATL: Marcus Mariota+125
W 34-37 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Marcus Mariota-200
L 17-35 at Cincinnati BengalsATL: Marcus Mariota • CIN: Joe Burrow+240
W 14-28 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Jimmy Garoppolo • ATL: Marcus Mariota+165

Injuries

Chicago Bears

Status
  • OLTeven JenkinsProbable
  • DBKindle VildorProbable
  • WRN'Keal HarryOut
  • RBKhalil HerbertIR
  • OLLucas PatrickIR
  • TECole KmetProbable
  • DLAl-Quadin MuhammadProbable

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • CMatt HennessyIR
  • TElijah WilkinsonIR
  • WRJared BernhardtIR
  • QBFeleipe FranksOut
  • SErik HarrisProbable
  • CBA.J. TerrellProbable
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Tra Blake
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chicago+180+110+110+108+110+108+110+118.7
Atlanta-220-130-130-128-130-128-128-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chicago+145+120+112+115+120+115+120+118.7
Atlanta-165-140-130-135-140-135-130-118.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chicago+4½-110+2½-108+2-110+2-111+1+103+2-111+2½-108+1+112
Atlanta-4½-110-2½-108-2-110-2-109-1-123-2-109-2-109-1-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chicago+3-110+2-110+2-110+2-110+2½-101+2-110+2½-101+1+112
Atlanta-3-110-2-110-2-110-2-110-2½-119-2-110-2-110-1-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chicago: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chicago: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Chicago: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chicago: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chicago: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chicago Spread moved from +2½-105 to +1+103
Atlanta Spread moved from -3-116 to -3-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chicago: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chicago: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Chicago: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chicago: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chicago: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chicago Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o47½-108o48-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o47½-108o48+100
Underu48½-110u47½-108u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o48-110o48-110o48-110o48½-110o48-110o48-110o48+100
Underu48½-110u48-110u48-110u48-110u48½-110u48-110u48½-110u48+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-107
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o50½-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u48-110
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