Cleveland at Cincinnati

Updated
Rank28
P/G16.4
PA/G23.7
48.6%51.4%
Cleveland WinCincinnati Win
24.7Projected Points 25.4
41Final Score 16
Rank19
P/G27.0
PA/G26.2
Rank28
P/G16.4
PA/G23.7
Rank19
P/G27.0
PA/G26.2

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.77243.063

Joe Burrow

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.98277.0209

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Browns
Money Line
L 15-10 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Ben Roethlisberger • CLE: Baker Mayfield-215
W 14-17 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Teddy Bridgewater • CLE: Case Keenum-125
L 37-14 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • CLE: Baker Mayfield-140
L 42-47 at Los Angeles ChargersCLE: Baker Mayfield • LAC: Justin Herbert+125
W 14-7 at Minnesota VikingsCLE: Baker Mayfield • MIN: Kirk Cousins-110
Cincinnati Bengals
Money Line
L 31-34 at New York JetsCIN: Joe Burrow • NYJ: Mike White-540
W 41-17 at Baltimore RavensCIN: Joe Burrow • BAL: Lamar Jackson+250
W 34-11 at Detroit LionsCIN: Joe Burrow • DET: Jared Goff-185
L 25-22 vs Green Bay PackersGB: Aaron Rodgers • CIN: Joe Burrow+115
W 21-24 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • CIN: Joe Burrow-320

Injuries

Cleveland Browns

Status
  • WROdell Beckham Jr.Unknown
  • LBJeremiah Owusu-KoramoahIR
  • OLChris HubbardOut for Season
  • DETakkarist McKinleyProbable
  • CBDenzel WardProbable
  • RBKareem HuntIR
  • CBM.J. Stewart Jr.IR
  • SJohn Johnson IIIProbable
  • WRDonovan Peoples-JonesProbable
  • DEJadeveon ClowneyProbable
  • FBAndy JanovichIR
  • TEHarrison BryantProbable
  • CBA.J. GreenProbable
  • TJack ConklinIR
  • DTMalik JacksonProbable

Cincinnati Bengals

Status
  • GJackson CarmanProbable
  • CBTrae WaynesIR
  • DECameron SampleOut
  • GD'Ante SmithIR
  • LBJordan EvansOut for Season
  • WRAuden TateOut
  • RBChris EvansProbable
WSW 2 mph
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)58°60°61°61°
Humidity45%42%41%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindWSW 2 mphWSW 3 mphWSW 3 mphSW 4 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+130+105+110+110+110+110+110+118.3
Cincinnati-150-125-130-130-130-130-125-118.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+135+105+106+105+105+110+110+118.3
Cincinnati-155-125-124-125-125-130-124-118.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+3-110+2-110+1+102+2-110+1½-109+1+102+1+102+2½-104
Cincinnati-3-110-2-110-1-122-2-110-1½-109-1-122-1½-109-2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cleveland+2½-110+1½-110+2-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+2-110+2½-104
Cincinnati-2½-110-1½-110-2-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-2½+104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cleveland: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 10.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 20.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
Cincinnati Spread moved from -2½-107 to -1-128

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cleveland: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 10.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Cleveland: 20.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Cincinnati: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-110
Cincinnati Spread moved from -2½-110 to -3-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o47½-115o47½-112o47½-110o47½-109o47½-112o47½-109o47½+100
Underu45-110u47½-105u47½-108u47½-110u47½-109u47½-108u47½-105u47½-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½+100
Underu45½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o47½-112
The Under moved from u48-110 to u48-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-110 to o47½-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46-110