New Orleans at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
25.0%75.0%
New Orleans WinTampa Bay Win
17.7Projected Points 25.3
16Final Score 17
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank25
P/G23.8
PA/G23.6
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6

Quarterbacks

Andy Dalton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.49225.0147

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.211277.0142

Last 5 Games

New Orleans Saints
Money Line
L 0-13 at San Francisco 49ersNO: Andy Dalton • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+353
W 20-27 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • NO: Andy Dalton-135
L 10-20 at Pittsburgh SteelersNO: Andy Dalton • PIT: Kenny Pickett+110
L 27-13 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • NO: Andy Dalton+110
W 0-24 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • NO: Andy Dalton+109
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 17-23 at Cleveland BrownsTB: Tom Brady • CLE: Jacoby Brissett-165
W 16-21 vs Seattle SeahawksSEA: Geno Smith • TB: Tom Brady-145
W 13-16 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Matthew Stafford • TB: Tom Brady-155
L 27-22 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • TB: Tom Brady-130
L 3-21 at Carolina PanthersTB: Tom Brady • CAR: Phillip Walker-675

Injuries

New Orleans Saints

Status
  • DEPayton TurnerOut
  • DLMalcolm RoachProbable
  • CBBradley RobyProbable
  • CBMarshon LattimoreOut
  • LBPete WernerOut
  • RBMark Ingram IIProbable
  • WRRashid ShaheedProbable
  • WRKevin WhiteProbable
  • DTKentavius StreetProbable
  • CBP.J. WilliamsOut
  • WRJuwan JohnsonOut
  • DBJ.T. GrayOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • CBSean Murphy-BuntingDoubtful
  • DTVita VeaProbable
  • SLogan RyanProbable
  • GLuke GoedekeProbable
  • RBLeonard FournetteProbable
  • TTristan WirfsOut
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Out
  • SMike EdwardsDoubtful
  • TECameron BrateOut
  • WRRussell GageProbable
  • WRMike EvansProbable
  • DLAkiem HicksProbable
NNE 3 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°71°70°69°
Humidity72%75%76%74%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 3 mphNNE 3 mphNNE 3 mphNNE 4 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+245+165+175+170+155+170+175+162.3
Tampa Bay-290-190-210-195-175-195-175-162.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+220+175+160+165+160+160+175+162.3
Tampa Bay-260-200-180-185-180-180-180-162.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+6½-107+3+107+3½-115+3+101+3+105+3+101+3+107+3+114
Tampa Bay-6½-113-3-123-3½-105-3-121-3-125-3-121-3-121-3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New Orleans+6½-110+3½-110+3½-120+3+105+3½-119+3+100+3½-110+3+114
Tampa Bay-6½-110-3½-110-3½+100-3-125-3½-101-3-120-3½+100-3-114

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
New Orleans: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3-118 to -3-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New Orleans: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New Orleans: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New Orleans: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New Orleans Spread moved from +3-105 to +3-120
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o41-108o41-105o41-110o40½-110o41-110o40½-110o40½+100
Underu42-110u41-108u41-115u41-110u40½-110u41-110u41-108u40½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40½-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o41-110o40½+100
Underu40½-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u41-110u40½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u40½-106 to u40½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40½-110 to o41-110
The Under moved from u41½-110 to u41-110