Denver at Kansas City

Updated
Rank15
P/G21.4
PA/G16.6
12.4%87.6%
WinKansas City Win
12.1Projected Points 29.1
8Final Score 19
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1
Rank15
P/G21.4
PA/G16.6
Rank2
P/G24.0
PA/G19.1

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.9511.1112

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.8510.5104

Last 5 Games

Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 31-21 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • DEN: Russell Wilson-130
W 31-28 at Chicago BearsDEN: Russell Wilson • CHI: Justin Fields-155
L 20-70 at Miami DolphinsDEN: Russell Wilson • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+235
L 35-33 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Sam Howell • DEN: Russell Wilson-185
L 17-16 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • DEN: Russell Wilson-160
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 27-20 at Minnesota VikingsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIN: Kirk Cousins-175
W 23-20 at New York JetsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NYJ: Zach Wilson-410
W 10-41 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • KC: Patrick Mahomes-725
W 17-9 at Jacksonville JaguarsKC: Patrick Mahomes • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-162
L 21-20 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • KC: Patrick Mahomes-195

Injuries

Denver Broncos

Status
  • LBBaron BrowningOut
  • TEGreg DulcichProbable
  • WRTre'quan SmithIR
  • DTD.J. JonesOut
  • RBJavonte WilliamsProbable
  • DEFrank ClarkOut

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • LBNick BoltonProbable
  • WRRichie JamesIR
  • TETravis KelceProbable
  • TPrince Tega WanoghoIR
  • DEGeorge KarlaftisProbable
  • PTommy TownsendProbable
  • DTMatt DickersonProbable
SSE 15 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°69°69°68°
Humidity66%69%70%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyWindyWindy
WindSSE 15 mphSSE 15 mphSSE 17 mphSSE 17 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+395+485+425+510+475+510+510+529.7
Kansas City-500-635-600-660-625-660-600-529.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+400+475+505+460+500+475+505+529.7
Kansas City-550-650-635-650-700-700-635-529.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+11-110+10½-108+10-105+10½-113+10½-110+10½-113+10½-108+10½-103
Kansas City-11-110-10½-108-10-115-10½-107-10½-110-10½-107-10-115-10½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Denver+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½-103
Kansas City-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-10½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +11-108 to +10-108
Kansas City Spread moved from -10-120 to -10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Denver: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Denver: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Denver Spread moved from +10½-110 to +10-110
Kansas City Spread moved from -10½-110 to -11-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51½-110o47½-108o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47½+100
Underu51½-110u47½-108u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-108u47½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51½-110o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47½+100
Underu51½-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½-110u47½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47-108 to o47½-110
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110