Kansas City at Buffalo

Updated
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
71.3%28.7%
Kansas City WinBuffalo Win
28.8Projected Points 21.8
26Final Score 17
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank3
P/G31.8
PA/G22.1

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.34284.0110

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.94332.0121

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 40-32 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-490
W 10-26 vs New England PatriotsNE: Brian Hoyer • KC: Patrick Mahomes-600
W 34-20 at Baltimore RavensKC: Patrick Mahomes • BAL: Lamar Jackson+160
W 23-20 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Tyrod Taylor-375
W 20-34 vs Houston TexansHOU: Deshaun Watson • KC: Patrick Mahomes-430
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
L 16-42 at Tennessee TitansBUF: Josh Allen • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-159
W 30-23 at Las Vegas RaidersBUF: Josh Allen • VEG: Derek Carr-170
W 32-35 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Jared Goff • BUF: Josh Allen-130
W 31-28 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Ryan Fitzpatrick-240
W 17-27 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • BUF: Josh Allen-290

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • RBLe'Veon BellOut
  • SL'Jarius SneedOut
  • GKelechi OsemeleUnknown
  • OLMitchell SchwartzProbable
  • FBAnthony ShermanOut
  • WRSammy WatkinsOut
  • DEMichael DannaUnknown

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • GQuinton SpainOut
  • LBMatt MilanoOut
  • WRJohn BrownProbable
  • CBLevi WallaceUnknown
  • RBZack MossProbable
  • TEDawson KnoxOut
  • CBTre'Davious WhiteProbable
  • LBDel'Shawn PhillipsUnknown
NE 6 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)50°51°51°51°
Humidity88%89%89%90%
Precipitation62%55%60%56%
ConditionPossible Light RainPossible DrizzlePossible Light RainPossible Light Rain
WindNE 6 mphENE 6 mphENE 5 mphE 5 mph
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-165-250-245-240-250-245-240-
Buffalo+145+210+205+200+210+205+210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-1540-250-240-240-260-240-240-
Buffalo+890+210+208+200+205+200+210-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-2½-120-5½-115-5½-113-5½-110-5½-109-5½-113-5½-109-
Buffalo+2½+100+5½-105+5½-107+5½-110+5½-109+5½-107+5½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3+100-6-110-5½-105-5½-110-6-110-5½-110-5½-105-
Buffalo+3-120+6-110+5½-115+5½-110+6-110+5½-110+6-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -5½-110 to -5½-118
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Buffalo: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -5½-110 to -6-110
Buffalo Spread moved from +6-110 to +5½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo55-110o55-115o54½-115o55-110o54½-114o54½-115o54½-114-
Underu55-110u55-105u54½-105u55-110u54½-104u54½-105u55-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo55-110o55-110o55-115o55-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½-110-
Underu55-110u55-110u55-105u55-110u54½-110u54½-110u55-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-109 to o54½-114
The Under moved from u55-109 to u54½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55-110 to o55-115
The Under moved from u55-110 to u54½-110