Houston at Indianapolis

Updated

Houston Texans

(9-5)
Rank9
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
34.6%65.4%
Houston WinIndianapolis Win
18.9Projected Points 23.0
32Final Score 31

Indianapolis Colts

(6-8)
Rank21
P/G20.0
PA/G23.5
Rank9
P/G23.4
PA/G21.4
Rank21
P/G20.0
PA/G23.5

Quarterbacks

Davis Mills

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
61.214201.01413

Sam Ehlinger

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.12121.011

Last 5 Games

Houston Texans
Money Line
L 31-3 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • HOU: Davis Mills+170
W 19-14 at Tennessee TitansHOU: Kyle Allen • TEN: Malik Willis+160
L 30-24 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • HOU: Kyle Allen+750
L 23-27 at Dallas CowboysHOU: Kyle Allen • DAL: Dak Prescott+1225
L 27-14 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Deshaun Watson • HOU: Kyle Allen+290
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 10-38 at New York GiantsIND: Nick Foles • NYG: Daniel Jones+215
L 20-3 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • IND: Nick Foles+170
L 36-39 at Minnesota VikingsIND: Matt Ryan • MIN: Kirk Cousins+185
L 19-54 at Dallas CowboysIND: Matt Ryan • DAL: Dak Prescott+470
L 24-17 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Kenny Pickett • IND: Matt Ryan-130

Injuries

Houston Texans

Status
  • LBOgbonnia OkoronkwoQuestionable
  • WRJalen CampOut
  • DBSteven NelsonOut
  • WRNico CollinsOut for Season
  • TETeagan QuitorianoProbable
  • DBDerek Stingley Jr.IR
  • RBDameon PierceIR

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • CBIsaiah RodgersOut for Season
  • CBKenny Moore IIIR
  • QBNick FolesOut
  • RBJonathan TaylorOut for Season
  • CBStephon GilmoreOut
  • DEYannick NgakoueIR
  • WRAshton DulinProbable
  • CBBrandon FacysonOut
  • QBSam EhlingerNamed Starter
  • TEKylen GransonOut
NNE 4 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)36°37°37°37°
Humidity73%73%73%75%
Precipitation0%5%8%11%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNNE 4 mphN 5 mphN 5 mphNNW 5 mph
Jerome Boger
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+115+135+135+130+130+130+135+138.0
Indianapolis-135-155-160-150-150-150-150-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+135+125+125+125+125+130+130+138.0
Indianapolis-155-145-143-145-145-150-143-138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+1+105+3-113+3-115+3-117+3-120+3-117+3-113+3-109
Indianapolis-1-125-3-103-3-105-3-103-3+100-3-103-3+100-3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Houston+2½-110+3-110+2½-105+3-120+2½-101+2½+100+3-110+3-109
Indianapolis-2½-110-3-110-2½-115-3+100-2½-119-2½-120-2½-115-3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Houston: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Indianapolis Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Houston: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Houston: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Houston: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Houston: 20.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Houston Spread moved from +3-120 to +2½-120
Indianapolis Spread moved from -3-110 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo39-110o37½-108o38-105o38-106o37½-110o38-106o37½-108o37½+100
Underu39-110u37½-108u38-115u38-114u37½-110u38-114u37½-108u37½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38½-110o37½-110o38-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½-110o37½+100
Underu38½-110u37½-110u38-110u37½-110u37½-110u37½-110u38-110u37½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o38-106 to o38-110
The Under moved from u38-108 to u37½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o37½-110 to o38-110
The Under moved from u38-110 to u37½-110
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