NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
81.3%
18.7%
-370
+310
-360
+315
-7-108
+7½-115
-7½+104
+7½-110
29.9
17.7
47.6
o50½-105
u50½-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.6%
10.4%
-600
+470
-620
+500
-11-105
+11-108
-11-108
+11-108
32.2
11.8
44.0
o43-105
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.5%
27.5%
-175
+160
-180
+163
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
23.7
16.6
40.3
o39-110
u39½-108
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
19.1%
80.9%
+440
-540
+450
-550
+10½-108
-10-110
+10½-110
-10-108
17.8
29.7
47.5
o44½-108
u45-110
o45-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
66.2%
33.8%
-265
+230
-260
+229
-6-108
+6-105
-6-108
+6-108
23.8
19.4
43.2
o40½-115
u41½-115
o41-110
u41½-110
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.0%
82.0%
+295
-360
+310
-350
+7½-110
-7-113
+7+100
-7-110
14.7
27.3
42.0
o46-108
u47-115
o46-110
u46-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
18.6%
81.4%
+315
-385
+340
-380
+8-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-108
15.1
27.2
42.3
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.6%
28.4%
-260
+222
-260
+230
-6-105
+6-108
-6-108
+6-108
22.8
15.7
38.5
o41-108
u41-105
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
50.8%
49.2%
-110
-110
-108
-105
+0-108
+0-107
+0-108
+1-110
24.0
23.6
47.6
o47½-108
u47½-108
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brock Purdy
Jordan Love
35.5%
64.5%
+205
-235
+210
-224
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-108
-5½-108
20.7
24.6
45.3
o44½-105
u44½-108
o44-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
63.0%
37.0%
-150
+130
-145
+130
-2½-115
+2½+102
-2½-110
+3-116
25.0
21.4
46.4
o49-108
u49-108
o49-110
u49-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
32.8%
67.2%
+280
-330
+288
-340
+7+100
-7-113
+7-105
-7-110
14
31
-0.29484-0.28783-0.39727
Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints
33.5%
66.5%
+161
-170
+155
-165
+3+105
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-115
17
48
-0.47531-0.48848-0.40857
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
45.2%
54.8%
-120
+107
-125
+110
-1-108
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
23
19
-0.63429-0.61904-0.79427
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
60.6%
39.4%
-155
+137
-150
+140
-3-103
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
17
10
-0.52719-0.52736-0.50084
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
41.6%
58.4%
-115
-105
+100
-105
+1-115
+1-115
+0+100
+1-110
33
10
-0.67172-0.70528-0.87726
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
29.5%
70.5%
+160
-170
+165
-185
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½-110
9
16
-0.47678-0.45828-0.35013
Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs
32.6%
67.4%
+305
-335
+300
-340
+7+100
-7-113
+7+100
-7-110
17
25
-0.27810-0.28030-0.39424
Pittsburgh Steelers
Seattle Seahawks
38.9%
61.1%
+180
-205
+192
-210
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4½-110
-4-110
30
23
-1.05849-1.09127-0.94528
San Francisco 49ers
Washington Commanders
83.1%
16.9%
-950
+725
-1000
+750
-14-108
+14-105
-14-110
+14½-110
27
10
-0.12572-0.12170-0.18550
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40.1%
59.9%
+130
-135
+127
-145
+2½-103
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2½-110
23
13
-0.84211-0.85163-0.91352
Arizona Cardinals
Philadelphia Eagles
21.4%
78.6%
+600
-650
+550
-600
+12-108
-13+100
+12½-110
-11-110
35
31
-1.95538-1.88269-1.54281
Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants
64.7%
35.3%
-270
+245
-270
+250
-6-108
+6½-115
-6-110
+6½-110
26
25
-0.33448-0.33041-0.43508
Carolina Panthers
Jacksonville Jaguars
38.6%
61.4%
+172
-190
+176
-185
+4-108
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-110
0
26
-0.44543-0.44351-0.48810
Las Vegas Raiders
Indianapolis Colts
44.6%
55.4%
+165
-180
+170
-180
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3½-110
20
23
-0.46185-0.45497-0.59083
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
35.9%
64.1%
+200
-230
+200
-230
+5½-110
-5-108
+5½-110
-5-110
3
26
-0.39087-0.39087-0.44469
Atlanta Falcons
Chicago Bears
47.8%
52.2%
+130
-148
+135
-148
+2½+105
-3+100
+2½+100
-2½-110
17
37
-0.54728-0.53828-0.65066
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.