NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Detroit Lions (9-1)
Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
Jared Goff
Anthony Richardson
81.3%
18.7%
-370
+310
-360
+315
-7-108
+7½-115
-7-110
+7½-120
29.9
17.6
47.5
o50½-105
u50½-108
o50-110
u50½-110
Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
Carolina Panthers (3-7)
Patrick Mahomes
Bryce Young
89.6%
10.4%
-600
+470
-640
+510
-11-105
+11-108
-11-108
+11-108
32.2
11.8
44.0
o43-105
u43-108
o43-110
u43-110
Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
Chicago Bears (4-6)
Sam Darnold
Caleb Williams
72.5%
27.5%
-175
+160
-180
+160
-3½+100
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
23.8
16.8
40.6
o39-110
u39½-108
o39-110
u39½-110
Dallas Cowboys (3-7)
Washington Commanders (7-4)
Cooper Rush
Jayden Daniels
18.9%
81.1%
+440
-560
+475
-550
+10½-108
-10½-105
+11-108
-10½-110
17.7
29.8
47.5
o44½-108
u45½-110
o45-110
u45-110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6)
New York Giants (2-8)
Baker Mayfield
Tommy DeVito
65.7%
34.3%
-265
+230
-250
+225
-6-108
+6-108
-5½-110
+6-108
23.7
19.5
43.2
o40½-110
u41-105
o40½-110
u41½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New England Patriots (3-8)
Miami Dolphins (4-6)
Drake Maye
Tua Tagovailoa
18.0%
82.0%
+290
-355
+310
-350
+7½-108
-7-115
+7+102
-7-110
14.8
27.3
42.1
o46-108
u46½-105
o46-110
u46½-110
Tennessee Titans (2-8)
Houston Texans (7-4)
Will Levis
C.J. Stroud
18.6%
81.4%
+315
-380
+340
-380
+8-108
-9+105
+8-110
-7½-108
15.1
27.2
42.3
o40½-108
u40½-108
o40-110
u40½-110
Denver Broncos (6-5)
Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew II
71.6%
28.4%
-260
+222
-250
+230
-6-105
+6-108
-5½-108
+6-110
22.8
15.7
38.5
o41-108
u41-105
o41-110
u41½-110
Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
Seattle Seahawks (5-5)
Kyler Murray
Geno Smith
50.8%
49.2%
-110
-110
-108
-105
+0-108
+0-107
+0-108
+1-110
24.0
23.6
47.6
o47½-108
u47½-108
o47-110
u47½-110
San Francisco 49ers (5-5)
Green Bay Packers (7-3)
Brandon Allen
Jordan Love
35.5%
64.5%
+205
-235
+220
-240
+5½-107
-5½-108
+6-108
-5½-110
20.7
24.4
45.1
o44½-105
u44½-108
o44-110
u44½-110
Philadelphia Eagles (8-2)
Los Angeles Rams (5-5)
Jalen Hurts
Matthew Stafford
63.0%
37.0%
-150
+135
-138
+130
-3+100
+2½+102
-2½-110
+3-110
25.0
21.4
46.4
o49-108
u49-108
o48½-110
u49-110
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
34.8%
65.2%
+140
-160
+141
-155
+3-108
-3-108
+3-105
-3-105
12
10
-0.90701-0.90214-1.05601
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers
64.2%
35.8%
-160
+150
-165
+150
-3-107
+3+100
-3-110
+3-101
20
10
-0.50078-0.49617-0.44318
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
75.3%
24.7%
-440
+395
-440
+380
-9-110
+9½-108
-8½-110
+9½-110
31
17
-0.22149-0.22768-0.28337
Buffalo Bills
Philadelphia Eagles
36.7%
63.3%
+133
-145
+135
-142
+3-115
-2½-108
+3-110
-2½-120
34
37
-0.54531-0.54535-0.45706
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
43.5%
56.5%
+115
-130
+115
-128
+2-108
-1-118
+2-110
-2-110
12
29
-0.60042-0.60349-0.57098
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
50.6%
49.4%
-150
+135
-152
+140
-2½-120
+2½+107
-3-105
+3-110
37
14
-0.53604-0.52520-0.68142
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
52.4%
47.6%
-125
+110
-130
+115
-1½-108
+2-110
-2-110
+2-110
15
24
-0.77319-0.79536-0.74240
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
52.2%
47.8%
-130
+115
-130
+118
-2-110
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
16
10
-0.60042-0.59419-0.64980
Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans
26.4%
73.6%
+164
-180
+160
-170
+3½-108
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
10
17
-0.46324-0.47678-0.30591
New England Patriots
New York Giants
58.8%
41.2%
-215
+198
-210
+200
-4½-108
+4½-105
-4½-110
+4½-110
7
10
-1.10988-1.10933-0.88697
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Indianapolis Colts
41.8%
58.2%
+130
-140
+140
-145
+2½+105
-2½-118
+2½+100
-2½-110
20
27
-0.55696-0.53299-0.54120
Jacksonville Jaguars
Houston Texans
56.2%
43.8%
-115
+105
-114
+105
-1-105
+1½-108
-1-110
+1½-110
24
21
-0.64814-0.65009-0.57536
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
63.1%
36.9%
-440
+375
-400
+375
-9-110
+9½-108
-9-110
+9½-110
34
13
-0.22983-0.23362-0.46053
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
67.2%
32.8%
-300
+270
-305
+280
-7-105
+7-108
-7-110
+7½-119
31
13
-0.30775-0.29969-0.39745
Washington Commanders
Dallas Cowboys
13.9%
86.1%
+575
-700
+550
-670
+13-108
-13-105
+13-110
-13-110
10
45
-0.15642-0.16281-0.14990
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
23.9%
76.1%
+360
-410
+350
-405
+8½-105
-8½-108
+9-110
-8½-110
29
22
-1.54717-1.52800-1.43050
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.61746 
Sportsbooks149-5 (0.643)0-0.62011 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.61109
0.00637
0.00901

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.