NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)
Lamar Jackson
Justin Herbert
60.6%
39.4%
-145
+132
-145
+130
-2½-113
+2½+100
-2½-110
+2½+100
26.3
22.9
49.2
o50½-108
u50½-105
o50-110
u51-110
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
41.1%
58.9%
+180
-195
+184
-200
+4-110
-4-105
+4-110
-4-110
34
40
-0.43197-0.42407-0.52974
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers
27.2%
72.8%
+255
-275
+256
-300
+6½-115
-6-108
+6½-101
-6-115
20
37
-0.32507-0.31811-0.31717
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
18.3%
81.7%
+155
-170
+160
-170
+3+102
-3-116
+3+100
-3-110
19
14
-0.95763-0.96964-1.70007
Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens
36.4%
63.6%
+230
-265
+245
-280
+6½-110
-6-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
9
17
-0.34881-0.33173-0.45248
Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs
14.6%
85.4%
+410
-475
+429
-450
+10-104
-11+108
+10½-110
-10-110
10
24
-0.21298-0.20786-0.15755
Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears
82.8%
17.2%
-370
+330
-380
+340
-9½+105
+8-108
-8-110
+8½-110
35
13
-0.25884-0.25238-0.18872
Cincinnati Bengals
New England Patriots
62.9%
37.1%
-155
+140
-155
+141
-3-105
+3-108
-3-105
+3-110
22
18
-0.52206-0.52037-0.46409
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
58.8%
41.2%
-126
+110
-130
+115
-1½-110
+2-108
-1½-110
+2½-110
23
37
-0.77510-0.79536-0.88574
New Orleans Saints
Cleveland Browns
33.6%
66.4%
+160
-165
+160
-180
+3+100
-3-113
+3½-110
-3-115
17
10
-0.96273-0.98262-1.08945
New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings
31.8%
68.2%
+188
-218
+200
-215
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4½-110
-4-110
24
27
-0.40979-0.39768-0.38218
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
42.1%
57.9%
+125
-135
+135
-140
+2½-105
-1-128
+2½+100
-2½-110
19
3
-0.82968-0.86325-0.86401
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
17.5%
82.5%
+305
-350
+320
-350
+7½-108
-9+105
+7½-110
-7½-110
12
24
-0.27570-0.26707-0.19240
New York Giants
Washington Commanders
30.2%
69.8%
+185
-195
+190
-190
+4-108
-4-105
+4-110
-3½-110
20
12
-1.05915-1.06470-1.19660
Cincinnati Bengals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
53.7%
46.3%
-165
+155
-165
+160
-3-108
+3½-120
-3-110
+3½-119
34
23
-0.48848-0.48102-0.62114
Tennessee Titans
Los Angeles Chargers
43.6%
56.4%
+135
-145
+135
-150
+3-115
-3+102
+3-101
-3+100
14
17
-0.54173-0.53604-0.57345
New England Patriots
Las Vegas Raiders
56.3%
43.7%
+115
-135
+125
-135
+2½-108
-2½-102
+2½-105
-2-110
24
30
-0.59314-0.57304-0.82725
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62880 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62845 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.58573
0.04307
0.04272

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.