NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 25, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		PointsTotal
Points		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Baltimore Ravens (7-4)
Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)		Lamar Jackson
Justin Herbert		60.2%
39.8%
-150
+140
-150
+145
-3-103
+3-110
-3+100
+3-110
26.3
22.9		49.2
o51-108
u51-105
o51-110
u51-110
Games for Nov 24, 2024
Games for Nov 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Points		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Jets
New England Patriots		36.4%
63.6%
+160
-172
+155
-170
+3+105
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3½+100
3
10		-0.47514-0.48418-0.45309
Washington Commanders
Houston Texans		70.0%
30.0%
-152
+140
-160
+145
-3-101
+3-108
-3-110
+3-105
23
10		-0.52520-0.50878-0.35606
Philadelphia Eagles
Indianapolis Colts		80.6%
19.4%
-275
+250
-290
+250
-7+110
+6½-108
-6½-110
+6½-110
17
16		-0.32902-0.32515-0.21619
Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens		11.6%
88.4%
+540
-700
+560
-700
+12½-108
-13½+110
+12½-110
-12½-110
3
13		-0.16431-0.15971-0.12375
Tennessee Titans
Green Bay Packers		29.8%
70.2%
+158
-175
+165
-175
+3+105
-3-118
+3½-110
-3½+100
27
17		-0.97146-0.98819-1.21013
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles		11.0%
89.0%
+420
-525
+415
-500
+11-108
-10½-110
+11-110
-11-110
32
21		-1.68045-1.66617-2.20428
Los Angeles Chargers
San Francisco 49ers		29.3%
70.7%
+315
-370
+315
-355
+8-108
-10+115
+8-110
-8-110
16
22		-0.26703-0.26914-0.34742
Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers		57.0%
43.0%
-185
+170
-180
+175
-3½-108
+3½-105
-3½-110
+4-110
28
31		-1.01255-1.01807-0.84474
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams		20.3%
79.7%
+160
-175
+155
-175
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3-125
27
17		-0.97625-0.96420-1.59475
Indianapolis Colts
Las Vegas Raiders		34.8%
65.2%
+185
-207
+190
-200
+4-105
-4-108
+4½-110
-4-110
25
20		-1.07216-1.07614-1.05604
Denver Broncos
Tennessee Titans		32.5%
67.5%
+120
-130
+120
-130
+2½-108
-1-123
+2½-110
-2-110
10
17		-0.59012-0.59012-0.39291
Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo Bills		30.7%
69.3%
+235
-265
+245
-260
+6½-108
-7+110
+6½-105
-6½-110
33
30		-1.23320-1.25037-1.18065
Cleveland Browns
Miami Dolphins		29.7%
70.3%
+165
-171
+160
-170
+3½-108
-3½-105
+3½-110
-3-119
17
39		-0.46877-0.47678-0.35219
Detroit Lions
Chicago Bears		45.1%
54.9%
+140
-151
+136
-150
+3-108
-3-108
+3-110
-3-110
31
30		-0.89355-0.88211-0.79633
New Orleans Saints
Pittsburgh Steelers		52.5%
47.5%
+110
-117
+110
-115
+1½-110
-1-108
+1½-110
-1-110
10
20		-0.63297-0.63673-0.74343
Houston Texans
New York Giants		21.0%
79.0%
+190
-220
+195
-213
+5-108
-4½-111
+5-110
-4½-110
16
24		-0.40651-0.40422-0.23553
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62880 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.62845 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.58573
0.04307
0.04272

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/18/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (9-1-0)14.22.80.099.7%77.9%66.9%43.3%27.6%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.23.80.0100.0%99.8%28.1%29.2%15.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (9-1-0)13.93.10.0100.0%88.1%57.2%28.5%13.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (8-2-0)12.94.10.099.1%84.4%15.8%16.1%7.8%
5Minnesota Vikings (8-2-0)12.44.60.097.4%16.7%12.2%14.5%7.3%
6Green Bay Packers (7-3-0)11.25.80.087.7%5.4%3.6%10.0%5.1%
7Baltimore Ravens (7-4-0)10.76.30.090.8%30.5%1.1%10.4%4.6%
8Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2-0)11.85.20.096.1%69.0%8.5%10.1%3.8%
9Houston Texans (7-4-0)10.76.30.092.5%87.8%1.4%8.8%3.6%
10Los Angeles Chargers (7-3-0)11.25.80.093.6%11.6%3.7%7.3%3.0%
11Arizona Cardinals (6-4-0)10.26.80.069.0%62.2%0.7%5.2%2.3%
12Washington Commanders (7-4-0)10.86.20.083.1%15.6%0.7%3.1%1.2%
13Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.071.8%69.4%0.0%2.9%1.1%
14San Francisco 49ers (5-5-0)8.68.40.025.0%17.3%0.1%2.4%1.1%
15Miami Dolphins (4-6-0)8.09.00.022.1%0.2%0.0%1.9%0.7%
16Indianapolis Colts (5-6-0)8.58.50.038.1%11.9%0.0%1.6%0.6%
17Denver Broncos (6-5-0)9.17.90.056.7%0.3%0.0%1.9%0.6%
18Los Angeles Rams (5-5-0)8.09.00.013.7%8.8%0.0%0.6%0.3%
19Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6-0)8.28.80.029.1%25.2%0.0%0.9%0.3%
20Seattle Seahawks (5-5-0)8.09.00.016.9%11.7%0.0%0.8%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.7%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.06.3%4.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23New York Jets (3-8-0)5.511.50.00.7%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Tennessee Titans (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.3%0.0%0.1%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-6-0)5.611.40.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Cleveland Browns (2-8-0)4.412.60.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Dallas Cowboys (3-7-0)5.811.20.00.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Las Vegas Raiders (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Carolina Panthers (3-7-0)4.712.30.00.5%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New York Giants (2-8-0)3.913.10.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New England Patriots (3-8-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.

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