NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
10.7%
89.3%
+430
-500
+450
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10½-110
-10-108
13.6
32.2
45.8
o48½-108
u48½-108
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
37.4%
62.6%
+175
-205
+180
-200
+4-108
-4-105
+4-108
-4-108
21.0
24.5
45.5
o37½-108
u37½-108
o37½-110
u38-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
37.1%
62.9%
+160
-170
+154
-170
+3½-113
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-115
21.4
24.7
46.1
o47-104
u47-108
o47-110
u47½-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40.0%
60.0%
+105
-120
+105
-120
+1½-109
-1-108
+1½-110
-1-110
14
12
-0.75056-0.75056-0.91574
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
22.5%
77.5%
+240
-260
+225
-200
+6½-105
-6½-108
+6½-110
-4-110
38
10
-1.23998-1.15268-1.49254
Houston Texans
Chicago Bears
36.7%
63.3%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+3-108
-3-108
+3-110
-3-110
20
23
-0.49617-0.50078-0.45757
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
59.9%
40.1%
-245
+210
-220
+220
-5½-108
+5½-108
-5½-110
+6-110
24
8
-0.37449-0.37469-0.51284
Las Vegas Raiders
Tennessee Titans
47.0%
53.0%
-130
+115
-129
+125
-2-108
+2-108
-2-110
+2½-110
22
24
-0.79536-0.81867-0.63439
Kansas City Chiefs
Indianapolis Colts
68.3%
31.7%
-220
+195
-210
+195
-4½-109
+5-108
-4½-110
+5-110
17
20
-1.10794-1.09808-1.14873
Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
26.0%
74.0%
+235
-278
+237
-260
+6½-108
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
24
28
-0.34068-0.34421-0.30150
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
54.1%
45.9%
-125
+115
-130
+115
-2-104
+2-108
-2-110
+2-110
14
22
-0.78592-0.79536-0.77886
Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
65.5%
34.5%
-266
+235
-270
+240
-6½-107
+6½-108
-6½-110
+6½-110
27
12
-0.34411-0.33865-0.42272
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
62.6%
37.4%
-195
+180
-200
+181
-4½-104
+4½-110
-4½-110
+4½-110
19
21
-1.04762-1.05547-0.98326
Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
52.6%
47.4%
-140
+130
-139
+130
-2½-110
+2½-103
-2½-110
+2½-105
37
26
-0.55696-0.55823-0.64164
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns
38.5%
61.5%
+195
-210
+195
-212
+4½-108
-4½-108
+4½-110
-4½-110
17
29
-0.40573-0.40471-0.48691
Minnesota Vikings
Philadelphia Eagles
45.5%
54.5%
+125
-140
+130
-145
+2½+102
-3+101
+3-110
-3+100
7
24
-0.56639-0.55080-0.60658
Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills
20.8%
79.2%
+370
-425
+390
-430
+10-113
-10-103
+10-110
-10-110
7
41
-0.23336-0.22437-0.23371
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
22.1%
77.9%
+395
-450
+400
-430
+10½-108
-10-115
+10½-110
-10-110
10
27
-0.22067-0.22035-0.25025
Arizona Cardinals
Las Vegas Raiders
42.9%
57.1%
+205
-235
+213
-240
+5½-109
-5-108
+5½-110
-5½-110
29
23
-1.14407-1.16607-0.84593
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.