NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.0%
89.0%
+430
-525
+435
-500
+10-108
-10-108
+10-108
-10-108
13.6
31.5
45.1
o48½-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
38.6%
61.4%
+170
-190
+175
-185
+3½-105
-3½-108
+4-110
-3½-108
20.4
23.7
44.1
o37-108
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.9%
63.1%
+155
-170
+155
-170
+3½-113
-3½-103
+3½-110
-3-115
21.2
24.7
45.9
o47-108
u47-108
o47-110
u47-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers
28.9%
71.1%
+320
-370
+330
-380
+9-109
-9½+100
+9-110
-8½-110
13
31
-0.26425-0.25755-0.34059
Arizona Cardinals
Detroit Lions
79.6%
20.4%
-650
+520
-690
+575
-14+110
+13-109
-12½-110
+13-110
12
30
-1.85215-1.93088-1.58919
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
37.3%
62.7%
+230
-250
+230
-260
+6-109
-6-109
+6-110
-6-105
30
16
-1.21110-1.21885-0.98687
Tennessee Titans
Pittsburgh Steelers
51.9%
48.1%
+110
-118
+103
-116
+1-105
-1-109
+1-110
-1-110
13
19
-0.63113-0.65089-0.73124
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
75.2%
24.8%
-550
+450
-550
+500
-13½+105
+12½-110
-11½-110
+12½-110
21
6
-0.19464-0.17980-0.28458
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
23.7%
76.3%
+360
-425
+380
-450
+10-109
-10½+110
+10-110
-10-110
24
31
-0.23786-0.22684-0.27044
Carolina Panthers
Buffalo Bills
22.3%
77.7%
+635
-800
+630
-850
+15-110
-14½-109
+15-110
-14½-110
14
31
-0.14242-0.14246-0.25188
New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts
49.8%
50.2%
+100
-110
+105
-115
+1-109
+0-110
+1½-110
+0-110
17
27
-0.67015-0.64814-0.68981
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers
56.0%
44.0%
-170
+155
-165
+155
-3-119
+3+105
-3-110
+3+100
34
28
-0.48418-0.48848-0.57966
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
42.2%
57.8%
+160
-175
+160
-160
+3+101
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3-110
30
23
-0.97625-0.95550-0.86394
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
17.5%
82.5%
+500
-600
+550
-660
+12-109
-13+110
+12½-110
-11½-110
30
45
-0.17768-0.16311-0.19207
Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
39.2%
60.8%
+150
-165
+160
-165
+3½-119
-3½+110
+3½-110
-3-115
27
33
-0.49617-0.48102-0.49761
San Francisco 49ers
Cincinnati Bengals
48.5%
51.5%
-115
+100
-116
+105
-1-107
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-110
26
23
-0.66000-0.64623-0.72418
New York Giants
Los Angeles Chargers
20.0%
80.0%
+335
-400
+340
-400
+9-109
-10+108
+9-110
-8½-110
21
37
-0.25260-0.25005-0.22333
Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos
17.1%
82.9%
+475
-615
+500
-600
+12½-109
-14+113
+12½-110
-12-110
10
38
-0.18414-0.17768-0.18780
Seattle Seahawks
Houston Texans
67.8%
32.2%
-425
+348
-420
+374
-10+105
+9½-105
-9-110
+9½-110
33
13
-0.24352-0.23207-0.38792
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.