NFL Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 28, 2024

TimeTeamsQuarterbacksWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Bears (4-7)
Detroit Lions (10-1)
Caleb Williams
Jared Goff
11.2%
88.8%
+430
-525
+425
-475
+10-108
-10-101
+9½-106
-9½-110
14.0
31.5
45.5
o48½-108
u48½-105
o48-110
u48½-110
New York Giants (2-9)
Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Tommy DeVito
Cooper Rush
42.1%
57.9%
+160
-165
+160
-170
+3+103
-3½+102
+3½-110
-3-115
20.6
23.6
44.2
o37-108
u37½-110
o37-110
u37½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Dolphins (5-6)
Green Bay Packers (8-3)
Tua Tagovailoa
Jordan Love
36.6%
63.4%
+155
-170
+155
-165
+3½-113
-3-115
+3+100
-3-110
21.2
24.7
45.9
o48-105
u48-108
o48-110
u48-110
Games for Nov 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco 49ers
Jacksonville Jaguars
73.3%
26.7%
-275
+255
-270
+250
-6½-108
+6½-110
-6½-110
+6½-101
30
10
-0.32507-0.33041-0.31075
Detroit Lions
Cleveland Browns
10.7%
89.3%
+500
-635
+550
-660
+13-105
-14+105
+13-110
-13-110
10
13
-0.17640-0.16311-0.11325
New England Patriots
Atlanta Falcons
63.9%
36.1%
-315
+280
-310
+270
-7-109
+7½-120
-7-110
+7-110
25
0
-0.29765-0.30562-0.44730
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
67.3%
32.7%
-185
+175
-180
+175
-3½-105
+3½-108
-3½-110
+3½-105
10
31
-1.02427-1.01807-1.11838
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
67.1%
32.9%
-150
+135
-145
+130
-2½-122
+3-115
-2½-110
+3-120
41
14
-0.53604-0.55080-0.39870
Philadelphia Eagles
Denver Broncos
35.7%
64.3%
-105
-110
+100
-110
+1-115
+0-106
+1-110
+0-110
30
13
-0.70441-0.71668-1.03061
Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers
35.6%
64.4%
+156
-165
+170
-165
+3½-120
-3-113
+3½-110
-3-110
0
17
-0.48696-0.46678-0.44009
Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
17.3%
82.7%
+260
-310
+290
-320
+7-105
-7½+110
+7-105
-7-110
34
10
-1.31423-1.37912-1.75591
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
41.3%
58.7%
+170
-175
+170
-175
+3½-110
-3½+100
+3½-110
-3½+100
27
20
-0.99997-0.99997-0.88470
Detroit Lions
Pittsburgh Steelers
19.6%
80.4%
+210
-227
+210
-240
+6-110
-5½-113
+6-110
-5½-110
16
16
-0.76484-0.76792-0.92296
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Commanders
80.2%
19.8%
-430
+350
-430
+400
-10½+105
+10-114
-9½-110
+10-110
19
29
-1.53707-1.62070-1.61843
New Orleans Saints
Tennessee Titans
32.1%
67.9%
+135
-150
+135
-150
+3-115
-3+101
+3-110
-3+100
21
23
-0.53604-0.53604-0.38713
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
86.4%
13.6%
-750
+575
-745
+600
-14+103
+13-105
-13-110
+13½-110
45
17
-0.15522-0.15017-0.14637
Atlanta Falcons
Dallas Cowboys
19.9%
80.1%
+285
-335
+310
-350
+7½-106
-9+110
+7½-110
-7½-110
3
43
-0.29063-0.27275-0.22206
Cleveland Browns
New England Patriots
50.8%
49.2%
+125
-135
+125
-135
+2½+100
-2½-114
+2½-105
-2½-110
7
45
-0.57304-0.57304-0.70901
Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
20.1%
79.9%
+380
-460
+415
-450
+10½-106
-11½+105
+10½-110
-10½-110
17
23
-0.22604-0.21295-0.22394
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64762 
Sportsbooks139-4 (0.692)0-0.64587 
DRatings139-4 (0.692)0-0.60368
0.04394
0.04219

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTMake PlayoffsWin DivWin ConfConf ChampWin Super Bowl
1Detroit Lions (10-1-0)14.52.50.0100.0%79.7%67.6%46.2%29.7%
2Buffalo Bills (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%99.6%31.5%33.2%16.0%
3Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0)14.03.00.099.9%94.9%63.4%28.3%11.5%
4Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0)13.33.70.099.8%97.3%17.5%18.7%10.4%
5Green Bay Packers (8-3-0)11.75.30.096.3%6.0%4.1%12.8%7.5%
6Minnesota Vikings (9-2-0)12.64.40.098.6%14.3%10.8%12.1%6.3%
7Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0)11.45.60.096.7%60.3%2.0%13.1%5.4%
8Los Angeles Chargers (7-4-0)10.66.40.088.0%4.9%0.8%6.4%2.7%
9Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3-0)11.06.00.093.7%39.3%2.3%5.7%2.0%
10Houston Texans (7-5-0)9.67.40.085.8%83.3%0.0%6.5%2.0%
11Atlanta Falcons (6-5-0)9.57.50.072.0%67.2%0.0%2.7%1.1%
12Denver Broncos (7-5-0)9.67.40.067.7%0.2%0.0%2.6%1.0%
13Miami Dolphins (5-6-0)8.68.40.031.7%0.4%0.0%2.2%0.8%
14Arizona Cardinals (6-5-0)9.57.50.058.4%51.8%0.0%2.2%0.8%
15San Francisco 49ers (5-6-0)7.79.30.013.6%8.7%0.0%1.4%0.8%
16Seattle Seahawks (6-5-0)8.88.20.036.8%27.4%0.0%1.2%0.4%
17Indianapolis Colts (5-7-0)7.99.10.025.1%14.6%0.0%1.5%0.4%
18Washington Commanders (7-5-0)9.87.20.065.1%2.7%0.0%0.9%0.3%
19Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0)7.89.20.014.7%12.1%0.0%0.8%0.3%
20Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6-0)8.58.50.034.1%26.3%0.0%0.6%0.2%
21Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-0)7.19.90.08.4%0.4%0.0%0.4%0.1%
22New Orleans Saints (4-7-0)6.910.10.07.1%5.9%0.0%0.2%0.1%
23Tennessee Titans (3-8-0)5.511.50.02.1%1.7%0.0%0.1%0.0%
24Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0)6.910.10.02.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Chicago Bears (4-7-0)5.311.70.00.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0)3.713.30.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Cleveland Browns (3-8-0)4.812.20.00.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Carolina Panthers (3-8-0)4.612.40.00.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9-0)4.712.30.00.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Giants (2-9-0)3.513.50.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31New England Patriots (3-9-0)4.212.80.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32New York Jets (3-8-0)5.111.90.00.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Predictions Methodology

The NFL computer predictions that are listed below are based on a combination of factors. While home field advantage is a major factor, we do not account for specific weather in our projections. A full list of variables and non-variables that go into our equation may further be explained in our disclaimer.

Note that we are an information site, not a touting service and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only. You will find information on probabilities for each team to win, predicted score, total score and more.