Buffalo at Indianapolis

Updated
Rank4
P/G30.6
PA/G21.6
69.5%30.5%
Buffalo WinIndianapolis Win
25.1Projected Points 19.5
30Final Score 20
Rank22
P/G22.2
PA/G25.1
Rank4
P/G30.6
PA/G21.6
Rank22
P/G22.2
PA/G25.1

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.19222.0172

Joe Flacco

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.43179.072

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 27-30 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-260
W 31-10 at Seattle SeahawksBUF: Josh Allen • SEA: Geno Smith-155
W 10-34 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • BUF: Josh Allen-450
W 23-20 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Aaron Rodgers-115
L 20-23 at Houston TexansBUF: Josh Allen • HOU: C.J. Stroud+110
Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 13-21 at Minnesota VikingsIND: Joe Flacco • MIN: Sam Darnold+235
L 20-23 at Houston TexansIND: Anthony Richardson • HOU: C.J. Stroud+200
W 10-16 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tyler Huntley • IND: Anthony Richardson-145
W 20-17 at Tennessee TitansIND: Joe Flacco • TEN: Will Levis+125
L 34-37 at Jacksonville JaguarsIND: Joe Flacco • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+190

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • DTDeWayne CarterIR
  • DEDawuane SmootIR
  • DECasey ToohillProbable
  • WRAmari CooperOut
  • LBBaylon SpectorProbable
  • FBReggie GilliamOut
  • WRKeon ColemanOut
  • CBChristian BenfordProbable

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • LBJaylon CarliesIR
  • TBernhard RaimannProbable
  • LBZaire FranklinProbable
  • WRMichael Pittman Jr.Out
  • STrevor DenbowIR
  • CRyan KellyOut
SW 11 mph
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)66°67°68°67°
Humidity82%73%67%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindSW 11 mphSW 13 mphSW 13 mphSW 12 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-235-215-225-220-220-220-215-199.4
Indianapolis+190+185+185+190+180+190+190+199.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-220-230-220-250-220-220-220-199.4
Indianapolis+192+195+192+200+190+190+200+199.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-5-105-4½-108-4½-105-4½-110-4-115-4½-110-4½-105-4½+100
Indianapolis+5-105+4½-108+4½-115+4½-110+4-105+4½-110+4½-108+4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3-110-4½-110-4½-110-4-120-4½-110-4½-108-4½-108-4½+100
Indianapolis+3-110+4½-110+4½-110+4+100+4½-110+4½-108+4+100+4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 20.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -4½-105 to -4-115
Indianapolis Spread moved from +4+100 to +4½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 20.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Indianapolis: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -4-110 to -4-120
Indianapolis Spread moved from +4+100 to +4-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-105o47-108o47-110o47-110o46½-110o47-110o46½-110o47+100
Underu47-105u47-108u47-110u47-110u46½-110u47-110u47-108u47+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o47-110o47-110o47½-110o47½-110o47-110o47-110o47+100
Underu48-110u47-110u47-110u47½-110u47½-110u47-110u47½-110u47+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-115 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u46½-110 to u46-110