Miami at Buffalo

Updated
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
30.4%69.6%
Miami WinBuffalo Win
21.9Projected Points 27.7
20Final Score 48
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4
Rank22
P/G18.1
PA/G22.1
Rank3
P/G29.1
PA/G19.4

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.3314.282

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
72.739.154

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 20-70 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Russell Wilson • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-260
W 24-17 at New England PatriotsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NE: Mac Jones-118
W 36-34 at Los Angeles ChargersMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • LAC: Justin Herbert+146
L 31-34 at Buffalo BillsMIA: Skylar Thompson • BUF: Josh Allen+800
W 6-11 vs New York JetsNYJ: Joe Flacco • MIA: Skylar Thompson-210
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 37-3 at Washington CommandersBUF: Josh Allen • WAS: Sam Howell-220
W 10-38 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Jimmy Garoppolo • BUF: Josh Allen-340
L 16-22 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Aaron Rodgers-140
L 27-10 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • BUF: Josh Allen-260
W 31-34 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Skylar Thompson • BUF: Josh Allen-1100

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • WRRiver CracraftIR
  • SDeShon ElliottOut
  • WRJaylen WaddleProbable
  • RBSalvon AhmedProbable
  • TTerron ArmsteadProbable
  • LBJaelan PhillipsOut
  • WRErik EzukanmaOut
  • CBEli AppleProbable
  • OLConnor WilliamsOut

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • SSiran NealProbable
  • SJordan PoyerOut
NW 5 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°73°74°74°
Humidity69%64%62%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNW 5 mphNW 5 mphNW 6 mphWNW 6 mph
Adrian Hill
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+150+130+130+137+130+137+137+144.8
Buffalo-175-150-150-157-150-157-150-144.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+120+130+138+130+125+135+138+144.8
Buffalo-140-150-157-155-145-155-145-144.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+3+105+3-108+3-115+3-115+3-120+3-115+3-108+3-104
Buffalo-3-125-3-108-3-105-3-105-3+100-3-105-3+100-3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+2½-110+3-110+3-120+3-120+3-119+3-120+3-110+3-104
Buffalo-2½-110-3-110-3+100-3+100-3-101-3+100-3+100-3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +3-105 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 40.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Buffalo Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50-110o52½-108o52½-110o52½-108o52½-110o52½-108o52½-108o52½+102
Underu50-110u52½-108u52½-110u52½-112u52½-110u52½-112u52½-108u52½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53-110o52½-110o52½-110o52½-110o53-110o52½-110o52½-110o52½+102
Underu53-110u52½-110u52½-110u52½-110u53-110u52½-110u53-110u52½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o52½-105 to o52½-110
The Under moved from u52½-110 to u52½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o52½-110 to o53-110
The Under moved from u53½-110 to u53-110