Kansas City at Miami

Updated
Rank1
P/G24.3
PA/G17.9
81.3%18.7%
Kansas City WinWin
32.3Projected Points 20.0
33Final Score 27
Rank25
P/G16.3
PA/G22.4
Rank1
P/G24.3
PA/G17.9
Rank25
P/G16.3
PA/G22.4

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
68.312318.0312

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.25150.070

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 16-22 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • KC: Patrick Mahomes-810
W 27-24 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady-170
W 35-31 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Derek Carr-340
W 31-33 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Teddy Bridgewater • KC: Patrick Mahomes-472
W 9-35 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • KC: Patrick Mahomes-2400
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
W 7-19 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Brandon Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-500
W 20-3 at New York JetsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • NYJ: Sam Darnold-320
L 13-20 at Denver BroncosMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • DEN: Drew Lock-200
W 21-29 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Tyrod Taylor • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-125
W 34-31 at Arizona CardinalsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • ARI: Kyler Murray+230

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • LBDamien WilsonOut
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireProbable
  • STyrann MathieuProbable
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • WRByron PringleIR
  • OLYasir DurantProbable
  • DETaco CharltonIR
  • TMitchell SchwartzIR
  • LBDorian O'DanielOut

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • RBSalvon AhmedOut
  • RBDeAndre WashingtonProbable
  • OLEreck FlowersOut
  • LBElandon RobertsOut
  • LBKyle Van NoyOut
  • RBMyles GaskinOut
  • RBMatt BreidaOut
  • RBMalcolm PerryProbable
SE 7 mph
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°82°81°80°
Humidity64%63%66%69%
Precipitation2%0%1%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSE 7 mphSE 7 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-360-360-350-335-350-350-335-
Miami+300+280+280+275+275+280+280-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-380-360-335-350-380-340-335-
Miami+290+300+285+290+290+280+300-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-7½-110-7½-105-7-115-7½+105-7-114-7-115-7½+105-
Miami+7½-110+7½-115+7-105+7½-125+7-104+7-105+7½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-7½-110-7-110-7-115-7-110-7½+100-7-110-7-110-
Miami+7½-110+7-110+7-105+7-110+7½-120+7-110+7-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -7-108 to -7-115
Miami Spread moved from +8-130 to +7½-135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Miami: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -7-110 to -7-120
Miami Spread moved from +7½-120 to +7-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o51½-115o52-107o51½-110o51½-109o52-107o51½-109-
Underu49-110u51½-105u52-113u51½-110u51½-109u52-113u51½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51-110o51½-110o51-110-
Underu49-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51-110u51½-110u51½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51½-110 to o51½-115
The Under moved from u51-104 to u51-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51-110 to o51½-110
No Steam Moves On Under