Miami at Kansas City

Updated

Miami Dolphins

(6-8)
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
39.7%60.3%
Miami WinKansas City Win
22.0Projected Points 25.2
7Final Score 26

Kansas City Chiefs

(13-1)
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5
Rank20
P/G19.7
PA/G22.3
Rank2
P/G23.5
PA/G18.5

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
69.31711.92914

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.21610.42714

Last 5 Games

Miami Dolphins
Money Line
L 21-14 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+128
L 19-56 at Baltimore RavensMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BAL: Lamar Jackson+150
W 20-22 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-120
W 0-30 vs New York JetsNYJ: Tim Boyle • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-340
L 28-27 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Will Levis • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-775
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 13-12 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Easton Stick+160
W 17-25 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Jake Browning • KC: Patrick Mahomes-340
L 20-14 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Aidan O'Connell • KC: Patrick Mahomes-575
W 27-17 at New England PatriotsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NE: Bailey Zappe-475
L 20-17 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-122

Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Status
  • CBXavien HowardOut
  • WRJaylen WaddleProbable
  • SDeShon ElliottProbable
  • LBCameron GoodeIR
  • CBJalen RamseyProbable
  • SJevon HollandOut
  • LBAndrew Van GinkelIR
  • LBBradley ChubbOut for Season
  • LBJerome BakerIR
  • RBRaheem MostertProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRSkyy MooreIR
  • WRRashee RiceProbable
  • WRJustyn RossOut
  • OLWanya MorrisOut
  • RBIsiah PachecoProbable
  • DBL'Jarius SneedProbable
  • -Donovan SmithProbable
  • RBJerick McKinnonIR
  • WRKadarius ToneyOut
NW 13 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)-4°-5°-6°-7°
Humidity70%69%67%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNW 13 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 14 mphWNW 14 mph
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+150+195+185+197+195+197+197+207.0
Kansas City-175-230-225-230-235-230-225-207.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+160+200+194+196+205+195+205+207.0
Kansas City-185-240-222-240-245-230-222-207.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+3-110+4½-108+4½-115+4½-115+4½-105+4½-115+4½-105+4½-104
Kansas City-3-110-4½-108-4½-105-4½-105-4½-115-4½-105-4½-105-4½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Miami+3½-110+5-110+4½-110+5-110+5-110+5-105+5-105+4½-104
Kansas City-3½-110-5-110-4½-110-5-110-5-110-5-105-4½-110-4½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 30.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Kansas City Spread moved from -4½-105 to -4½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Miami: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Miami: 30.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Miami: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Miami: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Miami: 20.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Miami Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
Kansas City Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o43½-108o44+100o44-110o43½-110o44-110o43½-108o44+100
Underu43½-110u43½-108u44-120u44-110u43½-110u44-110u44-110u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o43½-110o43½-115o43½-110o43-110o43½-110o43-110o44+100
Underu45½-110u43½-110u43½-105u43½-110u43-110u43½-110u43½-105u44+100

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u43½-108 to u43-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110
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