Tampa Bay at Minnesota

Updated

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(8-6)
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
35.9%64.1%
Tampa Bay WinMinnesota Win
19.7Projected Points 23.5
20Final Score 17

Minnesota Vikings

(12-2)
Rank5
P/G26.4
PA/G18.0
Rank8
P/G28.8
PA/G23.3
Rank5
P/G26.4
PA/G18.0

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 31-14 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • TB: Tom Brady+130
L 17-30 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Desmond Ridder+232
W 24-30 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • TB: Tom Brady-185
W 19-16 at Arizona CardinalsTB: Tom Brady • ARI: Trace McSorley-350
L 34-23 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • TB: Tom Brady+160
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
L 31-24 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins-145
W 29-13 at Chicago BearsMIN: Kirk Cousins • CHI: Nathan Peterman-260
L 17-41 at Green Bay PackersMIN: Kirk Cousins • GB: Aaron Rodgers+176
W 24-27 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins-215
W 36-39 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Matt Ryan • MIN: Kirk Cousins-190

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DLCalijah KanceyProbable
  • GCody MauchProbable
  • CRyan JensenOut
  • WRRussell GageOut for Season
  • QBBaker MayfieldNamed Starter

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • LBMarcus DavenportOut
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+245+170+175+180+175+180+180+189.7
Minnesota-290-195-210-210-210-210-195-189.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-220+175+164+175+175+175+175+189.7
Minnesota+180-200-186-200-200-210-186-189.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-3½-110+4-108+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-108+4+100
Minnesota+3½-110-4-108-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-108-4+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6½-110+4½-110+3½-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4½-110+4+100
Minnesota-6½-110-4½-110-3½-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-3½-110-4+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Minnesota Spread moved from -5½-105 to -6-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o45-108o45-110o44½-113o45-110o44½-113o44½-113o44½-103
Underu45½-110u45-108u45-110u44½-107u45-110u44½-107u45-108u44½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o45½-110o45-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-103
Underu45-110u45½-110u45-110u45-110u45-110u44½-110u45½-110u44½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-108 to o45-108
The Under moved from u45½-108 to u44½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110
Detroit at Kansas City
Carolina at Atlanta