Tampa Bay at Minnesota

Updated
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
35.9%64.1%
Tampa Bay WinMinnesota Win
19.7Projected Points 23.5
20Final Score 17
Rank5
P/G24.6
PA/G17.4
Rank13
P/G27.9
PA/G26.6
Rank5
P/G24.6
PA/G17.4

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Kirk Cousins

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
0.000.000

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 31-14 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • TB: Tom Brady+130
L 17-30 at Atlanta FalconsTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Desmond Ridder+232
W 24-30 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • TB: Tom Brady-185
W 19-16 at Arizona CardinalsTB: Tom Brady • ARI: Trace McSorley-350
L 34-23 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • TB: Tom Brady+160
Minnesota Vikings
Money Line
L 31-24 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins-145
W 29-13 at Chicago BearsMIN: Kirk Cousins • CHI: Nathan Peterman-260
L 17-41 at Green Bay PackersMIN: Kirk Cousins • GB: Aaron Rodgers+176
W 24-27 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • MIN: Kirk Cousins-215
W 36-39 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Matt Ryan • MIN: Kirk Cousins-190

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • DLCalijah KanceyProbable
  • GCody MauchProbable
  • CRyan JensenOut
  • WRRussell GageOut for Season
  • QBBaker MayfieldNamed Starter

Minnesota Vikings

Status
  • LBMarcus DavenportOut
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+245+170+175+180+175+180+180+189.7
Minnesota-290-195-210-210-210-210-195-189.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-220+175+164+175+175+175+175+189.7
Minnesota+180-200-186-200-200-210-186-189.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-3½-110+4-108+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4-108+4+100
Minnesota+3½-110-4-108-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-4-108-4+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+6½-110+4½-110+3½-110+4-110+4-110+4-110+4½-110+4+100
Minnesota-6½-110-4½-110-3½-110-4-110-4-110-4-110-3½-110-4+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108
Minnesota Spread moved from -5½-105 to -6-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
No Steam Moves On Minnesota Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o45-108o45-110o44½-113o45-110o44½-113o44½-113o44½-103
Underu45½-110u45-108u45-110u44½-107u45-110u44½-107u45-108u44½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o45½-110o45-110o45-110o45-110o44½-110o44½-110o44½-103
Underu45-110u45½-110u45-110u45-110u45-110u44½-110u45½-110u44½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44½-108 to o45-108
The Under moved from u45½-108 to u44½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o45½-110 to o46-110
The Under moved from u45½-110 to u45-110