Toronto at Buffalo

Updated
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
55.0%45.0%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
3.52Projected Goals 3.00
3Final Score 0

Buffalo Sabres

(11-18-4)
Rank27
P/G2.9
PA/G3.5
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
Rank27
P/G2.9
PA/G3.5

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3419-6-70.8893.12

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4424-19-30.9112.57

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Charlie Lindgren • TOR: Joseph Woll-175
L 6-3 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Jake Allen • TOR: Joseph Woll-142
L 1-2 at Carolina HurricanesTOR: Joseph Woll • CAR: Frederik Andersen+179
W 3-6 vs Edmonton OilersEDM: Stuart Skinner • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+122
W 7-3 at Washington CapitalsTOR: Joseph Woll • WSH: Charlie Lindgren-129
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 2-5 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Jake Allen • BUF: Devon Levi+120
L 6-2 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Joonas Korpisalo • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-131
W 4-1 at Calgary FlamesBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • CGY: Dustin Wolf-135
L 3-8 at Edmonton OilersBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • EDM: Stuart Skinner+200
L 2-3 at Vancouver CanucksBUF: Devon Levi • VAN: Casey DeSmith+188

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CCalle JarnkrokOut
  • DJoel EdmundsonOut
  • RWMitchell MarnerOut
  • DConor TimminsIR
  • DMorgan RiellyDoubtful
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • DTimothy LiljegrenOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • RWLukas RousekQuestionable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-155-151-145-154-155-154-145-143.7
Buffalo+133+135+125+137+135+137+137+143.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-150-150-154-145-150-154-145-143.7
Buffalo+130+130+140+125+130+137+140+143.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -155 to -163
Buffalo ML moved from +137 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto ML
Buffalo ML moved from +135 to +125

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+160--1½+163-1½+162-1½+155-1½+162-1½+163-1½+169
Buffalo+1½-185-+1½-190+1½-182+1½-175+1½-182+1½-175+1½-169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+160-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+169
Buffalo+1½-180+1½-180+1½-178+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-178+1½-169

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-103o6½-108o6½-112o6½-111o6½-115o6½-111o6½-108o6½-103
Underu6½-117u6½-108u6½-108u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½-110o6½-115o6½-110o6½-105o6½-115o6½-105o6½-103
Underu6½-120u6½-110u6½-105u6½-110u6½-115u6½-105u6½-105u6½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under