Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(10-6-1)
Rank6
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8
52.1%47.9%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
3.43Projected Goals 3.20
3Final Score 1

Buffalo Sabres

(9-9-1)
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
Rank6
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2

Goalies

Jonas Johansson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
209-6-50.8913.45

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2011-9-20.9092.64

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Minnesota WildMIN: Filip Gustavsson • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-130
W 1-5 vs Anaheim DucksANA: Lukáš Dostál • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-244
W 3-4 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Vítek Vaněček • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-140
W 2-3 vs Los Angeles KingsLAK: Cam Talbot • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+120
L 3-7 at Boston BruinsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • BOS: Linus Ullmark+137
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Chicago BlackhawksCHI: Arvid Söderblom • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-252
W 0-3 vs San Jose SharksSJS: Kaapo Kähkönen • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-265
L 1-0 vs Vancouver CanucksVAN: Thatcher Demko • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+133
W 3-5 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Anton Forsberg • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-119
L 5-2 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Joey Daccord • BUF: Devon Levi-107

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DHaydn FleuryIR
  • LWTanner JeannotOut
  • DErik CernakQuestionable
  • DMikhail SergachevIR
  • GOJonas JohanssonUnknown

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • LWJeff SkinnerOut
  • DHenri JokiharjuQuestionable
  • CDylan CozensQuestionable
  • DMattias SamuelssonQuestionable
  • DErik JohnsonOut
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenUnknown
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-117-108-115-107-105-106-105+100.0
Buffalo-103-108-105-105-115-106-105+100.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-120-110-107-110+100-110+100+100.0
Buffalo-100-110-103-110-120-106-103+100.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -118 to -125
Buffalo ML moved from -105 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Buffalo ML moved from -110 to -120

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+200--1½+210-1½+225-1½+222-1½+225-1½+225-1½+236
Buffalo+1½-240-+1½-250+1½-265+1½-265+1½-265+1½-250+1½-236
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+196-1½+200-1½+220-1½+215-1½+220-1½+215-1½+220-1½+236
Buffalo+1½-240+1½-240+1½-254+1½-267+1½-260+1½-265+1½-240+1½-236

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-118o6½-122o6½-117o6½-120o6½-117o6½-118o6½-108
Underu6½-110u6½+102u6½+102u6½+101u6½+100u6½+101u6½+102u6½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½-105o6½-110o6½-115o6½-115o6½-115o6½-105o6½-108
Underu6½-120u6½-115u6½-110u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½-105u6½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-108 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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