Toronto at Buffalo

Updated
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
60.0%40.0%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
3.56Projected Goals 2.53
6Final Score 3

Buffalo Sabres

(22-27-5)
Rank21
P/G3.2
PA/G3.4
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank21
P/G3.2
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Matt Murray

StartsRecordSV%GAA
00-0-00.0000.00

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
228-10-30.8963.00

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 5-3 at Dallas StarsTOR: Joseph Woll • DAL: Jake Oettinger+120
W 3-5 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Devon Levi • TOR: Dennis Hildeby-176
L 2-4 at Detroit Red WingsTOR: Joseph Woll • DET: Ville Husso-170
W 2-3 vs Anaheim DucksANA: Lukáš Dostál • TOR: Anthony Stolarz-407
W 2-1 at New Jersey DevilsTOR: Anthony Stolarz • NJD: Jacob Markström+125
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 1-6 at Montreal CanadiensBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • MTL: Sam Montembeault-125
L 3-5 at Toronto Maple LeafsBUF: Devon Levi • TOR: Dennis Hildeby+170
L 2-4 at Washington CapitalsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • WSH: Logan Thompson+165
L 3-2 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+134
L 6-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • BUF: James Reimer-120

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CAuston MatthewsProbable
  • GOAnthony StolarzOut
  • DJani HakanpaaIR
  • GOMatt MurrayNamed Starter

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • LWJordan GreenwayOut
  • DRasmus DahlinProbable
  • CSam LaffertyProbable
  • CRyan McLeodQuestionable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-165-149-160-150-145-150-145-140.4
Buffalo+147+133+135+134+125+134+135+140.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-155-150-139-165-155-150-139-140.4
Buffalo+135+130+127+145+135+135+145+140.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -147 to -155
Buffalo ML moved from +147 to +138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +198 to -157
Buffalo ML moved from +137 to +128

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+164-1½+160-1½+164-1½+164-1½+171
Buffalo+1½-180+1½-183+1½-185+1½-184+1½-180+1½-184+1½-180+1½-171
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+165-1½+165-1½+175-1½+160-1½+165-1½+170-1½+175-1½+171
Buffalo+1½-185+1½-185+1½-197+1½-180+1½-185+1½-190+1½-180+1½-171

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6-118o6½-103o6-126o6-120o6-126o6-118o6-117
Underu6-101u6+102u6½-117u6+110u6+100u6+110u6+110u6+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-115o6-115o6-117
Underu6-105u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+100u6-105u6+100u6+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-108 to o6-118
The Under moved from u6-101 to u6-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5-110 to o6-120
The Under moved from u6+100 to u5-110