Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(21-10-2)
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
44.5%55.5%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
3.09Projected Goals 3.68
5Final Score 3

Tampa Bay Lightning

(18-10-2)
Rank1
P/G4.0
PA/G2.9
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
Rank1
P/G4.0
PA/G2.9

Goalies

Joseph Woll

StartsRecordSV%GAA
75-2-00.9222.00

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
1810-7-10.9102.40

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 1-5 at Florida PanthersTOR: Anthony Stolarz • FLA: Sergei Bobrovsky+135
W 2-3 vs Utah Hockey ClubUTA: Karel Vejmelka • TOR: Joseph Woll-180
W 0-3 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Adin Hill • TOR: Joseph Woll+102
W 3-4 vs Edmonton OilersEDM: Stuart Skinner • TOR: Anthony Stolarz+130
W 4-3 at Washington CapitalsTOR: Joseph Woll • WSH: Logan Thompson+131
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 3-2 at Nashville PredatorsTBL: Jonas Johansson • NSH: Juuse Saros+113
L 5-4 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Charlie Lindgren • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-154
W 2-8 vs Colorado AvalancheCOL: Justus Annunen • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-110
L 4-2 vs Dallas StarsDAL: Jake Oettinger • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+110
L 6-7 at Columbus Blue JacketsTBL: Jonas Johansson • CBJ: Elvis Merzļikins-156

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CMax DomiQuestionable
  • FWMatthew KniesProbable
  • CAuston MatthewsProbable
  • CDavid KampfIR
  • LWMax PaciorettyIR
  • CBobby McMannIR
  • RWRyan ReavesOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • RWMitchell ChaffeeQuestionable
  • RWNikita KucherovOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-120-149-147-140-150-140-140-131.2
Tampa Bay+100+133+127+125+130+125+133+131.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-120-155-144-155-154-146-144-131.2
Tampa Bay+100+135+132+135+134+133+135+131.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -155 to -163
Tampa Bay ML moved from +140 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -150 to -160
Tampa Bay ML moved from +139 to +132

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+205-1½+162-1½+178-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+178-1½+185
Tampa Bay+1½-245+1½-183+1½-215+1½-205+1½-210+1½-205+1½-183+1½-185
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+210-1½+170-1½+178-1½+170-1½+170-1½+190-1½+190-1½+185
Tampa Bay+1½-250+1½-190+1½-202+1½-200+1½-190+1½-215+1½-190+1½-185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-105o6-113o6-115o6-105o6-110o6-105o6-105o6+103
Underu6½-115u6-103u6-105u6-111u6-110u6-111u6-103u6-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-115o6-110o6+103
Underu6½-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-105u6-105u6-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-120 to u6-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-120 to u6-110
Ottawa at Los Angeles
Washington at New Jersey