Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated
Rank1
P/G4.0
PA/G2.9
43.5%56.5%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.75Projected Goals 3.46
1Final Score 4
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6
Rank1
P/G4.0
PA/G2.9
Rank10
P/G3.1
PA/G2.6

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2213-8-10.9152.55

Matt Murray

StartsRecordSV%GAA
117-2-20.9242.46

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 5-1 at Montreal CanadiensTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • MTL: Jake Allen-250
W 1-4 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Daniil Tarasov • TBL: Brian Elliott-292
W 2-6 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Philipp Grubauer • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-190
W 1-4 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Sergei Bobrovsky • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-140
W 2-5 vs Nashville PredatorsNSH: Juuse Saros • TBL: Brian Elliott-177
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 2-5 at Washington CapitalsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • WSH: Charlie Lindgren-135
L 1-3 at New York RangersTOR: Matt Murray • NYR: Igor Shesterkin-115
W 0-7 vs Anaheim DucksANA: John Gibson • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-465
W 4-5 vs Calgary FlamesCGY: Daniel Vladar • TOR: Matt Murray-163
W 0-5 vs Los Angeles KingsLAK: Jonathan Quick • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-167

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWRudolfs BalcersIR
  • DMikhail SergachevQuestionable

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DJordie BennIR
  • DVictor MeteOut
  • LWNicholas RobertsonOut
  • DMorgan RiellyIR
  • CCalle JarnkrokProbable
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-105+120+120+123+120+123+123+128.3
Toronto-115-134-140-136-140-136-134-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+118+115+118+118+120+120+120+128.3
Toronto-140-135-129-140-140-130-129-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Toronto ML moved from -131 to -144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +121 to +115
No Steam Moves On Toronto ML

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-245+1½-212+1½-220+1½-215+1½-220+1½-215+1½-212+1½-192
Toronto-1½+205-1½+188-1½+180-1½+185-1½+180-1½+185-1½+188-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-210+1½-220+1½-220+1½-210+1½-215+1½-220+1½-215+1½-192
Toronto-1½+175-1½+190-1½+192-1½+175-1½+185-1½+195-1½+195-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6-118o6-120o6-106o6-125o6-106o6-106o6-114
Underu6½-120u6+102u6+100u6-104u6+105u6-104u6+105u6+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-115o6-120o6-115o6-120o6-120o6-120o6-115o6-114
Underu6-105u6+100u6-105u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+100u6+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-105 to o6-113
The Under moved from u6+102 to u6-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under