Philadelphia at Buffalo

Updated
Rank25
P/G2.9
PA/G3.6
55.4%44.6%
Philadelphia WinBuffalo Win
3.23Projected Goals 2.65
3Final Score 6
Rank14
P/G3.5
PA/G3.3
Rank25
P/G2.9
PA/G3.6
Rank14
P/G3.5
PA/G3.3

Goalies

Martin Jones

StartsRecordSV%GAA
146-6-20.9083.31

Michael Houser

StartsRecordSV%GAA
11-0-00.9771.00

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Flyers
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Elvis Merzlikins • PHI: Carter Hart-114
L 4-3 vs New York IslandersNYI: Semyon Varlamov • PHI: Carter Hart+115
L 1-4 at New York IslandersPHI: Martin Jones • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+180
L 3-2 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • PHI: Carter Hart+135
L 2-3 at Boston BruinsPHI: Carter Hart • BOS: Tuukka Rask+240
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Dallas StarsDAL: Braden Holtby • BUF: Aaron Dell+200
W 3-1 at Ottawa SenatorsBUF: Michael Houser • OTT: Anton Forsberg+190
L 3-2 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Alex Nedeljkovic • BUF: Aaron Dell+135
L 0-4 at Detroit Red WingsBUF: Aaron Dell • DET: Alex Nedeljkovic+172
W 4-1 at Nashville PredatorsBUF: Aaron Dell • NSH: Juuse Saros+300

Injuries

Philadelphia Flyers

Status
  • CSean CouturierIR
  • CDerick BrassardOut
  • CNate ThompsonIR
  • FJoel FarabeeOut
  • RWClaude GirouxProbable
  • RWKevin HayesIR
  • RWWade AllisonOut
  • CPatrick BrownOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GODustin TokarskiIR
  • GOMalcolm SubbanOut for Season
  • LWZemgus GirgensonsIR
  • DColin MillerOut
  • LWVinnie HinostrozaOut
  • DWill ButcherQuestionable
  • RWJack QuinnDoubtful
  • RWKyle OkposoOut
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenIR
  • DJacob BrysonProbable
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia-105-140-140-145-145-140-140-132.8
Buffalo-105+120+127+125+125+127+127+132.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia-120-135-136-140-135-140-135-132.8
Buffalo-100+115+124+120+115+130+130+132.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Philadelphia ML moved from -130 to -140
Buffalo ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Philadelphia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Philadelphia: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Philadelphia ML moved from -130 to -140
Buffalo ML moved from +130 to +120

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia-1½+200-1½+180-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+175-1½+180-1½+183
Buffalo+1½-240+1½-220+1½-205+1½-210+1½-210+1½-205+1½-205+1½-183
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Philadelphia-1½+200-1½+180-1½+177-1½+175-1½+180-1½+175-1½+180-1½+183
Buffalo+1½-230+1½-210+1½-201+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-183

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5½-102o6+100o6+106o6+100o6+100o6+106o6+106o6+108
Underu5½-108u6-120u6-117u6-120u6-120u6-117u6-117u6-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo5½-120o5½-130o5½-135o6+100o5½-130o6+100o6+100o6+108
Underu5½+100u5½+110u5½+115u6-120u5½+110u6-120u5½+115u6-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5½-123 to o5½-135
The Under moved from u5½+115 to u6-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5½-120 to o5½-135
The Under moved from u5½+115 to u6-120