Toronto at Buffalo

Updated
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
56.7%43.3%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
3.60Projected Goals 2.89
6Final Score 3

Buffalo Sabres

(12-19-4)
Rank27
P/G3.0
PA/G3.4
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank27
P/G3.0
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2719-7-20.9152.38

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
2314-7-20.8973.41

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 3-5 at Chicago BlackhawksTOR: Ilya Samsonov • CHI: Jaxson Stauber-300
W 1-5 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Jake Allen • TOR: Joseph Woll-410
W 2-5 vs Chicago BlackhawksCHI: Petr Mrazek • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-550
L 4-3 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Elvis Merzlikins • TOR: Joseph Woll-340
W 3-0 at Columbus Blue JacketsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • CBJ: Joonas Korpisalo-239
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
W 4-2 at San Jose SharksBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • SJS: Kaapo Kahkonen-115
W 7-3 at Anaheim DucksBUF: Eric Comrie • ANA: Lukas Dostal-191
L 2-5 at Los Angeles KingsBUF: Craig Anderson • LAK: Pheonix Copley+124
L 7-2 vs Calgary FlamesCGY: Jacob Markstrom • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+124
L 5-1 vs Carolina HurricanesCAR: Antti Raanta • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+130

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DRasmus SandinOut
  • GOMatt MurrayIR

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • DKale ClagueOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-165-160-170-167-170-167-160-157.0
Buffalo+145+143+145+151+150+151+151+157.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-145-170-163-173-170-168-163-157.0
Buffalo+132+150+148+146+150+153+153+157.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -159 to -171
Buffalo ML moved from +150 to +144

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -160 to -168
Buffalo ML moved from +155 to +144

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+145-1½+157-1½+150-1½+152-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157-1½+159
Buffalo+1½-165+1½-173+1½-175+1½-172+1½-170+1½-172+1½-170+1½-159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+160-1½+155-1½+153-1½+148-1½+145-1½+140-1½+155-1½+159
Buffalo+1½-180+1½-175+1½-173+1½-175+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-125o7+107o7+105o6½-138o7+110o6½-138o6½-138o6½-130
Underu6½+105u7-123u7-125u6½+125u7-130u6½+125u7-123u6½+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o6½-135o6½-135o6½-140o7+100o6½-140o6½-135o6½-130
Underu6½+110u6½+115u6½+115u6½+118u7-120u6½+120u7-120u6½+130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-135 to o7+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under