Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
47.0%53.0%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
3.03Projected Goals 3.36
4Final Score 3
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
Rank11
P/G3.1
PA/G2.8
Rank2
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Joseph Woll

StartsRecordSV%GAA
54-1-00.9322.02

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
5934-21-40.9162.63

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 2-1 at Florida PanthersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • FLA: Alex Lyon+131
W 1-7 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-350
L 1-2 at Boston BruinsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • BOS: Jeremy Swayman+131
W 2-4 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Jet Greaves • TOR: Joseph Woll-380
L 5-2 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Alex Nedeljkovic • TOR: Matt Murray-230
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-7 at Ottawa SenatorsTBL: Brian Elliott • OTT: Cam Talbot-130
L 1-6 at New York IslandersTBL: Brian Elliott • NYI: Ilya Sorokin+152
L 3-6 at New York RangersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+113
W 0-5 vs New York IslandersNYI: Ilya Sorokin • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-150
W 1-5 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Darcy Kuemper • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-200

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DErik GustafssonOut
  • CSam LaffertyOut
  • CBobby McMannIR
  • CCalle JarnkrokProbable
  • RWMitchell MarnerOut
  • CAuston MatthewsOut
  • DMark GiordanoOut
  • GOIlya SamsonovOut
  • GOMatt MurrayDoubtful

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DMikhail SergachevProbable
  • LWTanner JeannotOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+115+195+200+194+185+194+200+201.3
Tampa Bay-135-225-240-217-225-217-217-201.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+110+190+197+175+180+195+197+201.3
Tampa Bay-130-220-217-210-210-215-210-201.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 60.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +178 to +171
Tampa Bay ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 60.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +175 to +165
Tampa Bay ML moved from -210 to -220

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-210+1½-133+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
Tampa Bay-1½+175-1½+117-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-220+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-124
Tampa Bay-1½+180-1½+120-1½+122-1½+118-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-108o6½-103o6½-105o6½+102o6½-108o6½+102o6½+102o6½+107
Underu6½-102u6½-113u6½-115u6½-113u6½-112u6½-113u6½-112u6½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-110o6½-105o6½-105o6½-105o6½-110o6½-105o6½+107
Underu6½-105u6½-110u6½-115u6½-115u6½-115u6½-110u6½-110u6½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+105 to u6½-110