Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank13
P/G3.0
PA/G2.6
47.0%53.0%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
2.99Projected Goals 3.32
3Final Score 4
Rank9
P/G3.5
PA/G3.1
Rank13
P/G3.0
PA/G2.6
Rank9
P/G3.5
PA/G3.1

Goalies

Matt Murray

StartsRecordSV%GAA
75-1-10.9272.44

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
179-7-10.9082.77

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 1-3 vs San Jose SharksSJS: Aaron Dell • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-292
W 4-2 at Detroit Red WingsTOR: Matt Murray • DET: Ville Husso-145
W 4-1 at Pittsburgh PenguinsTOR: Erik Kallgren • PIT: Casey DeSmith+115
W 4-3 at Minnesota WildTOR: Matt Murray • MIN: Marc-Andre Fleury+101
W 2-1 at New Jersey DevilsTOR: Matt Murray • NJD: Vitek Vanecek+120
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
W 4-1 at Philadelphia FlyersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • PHI: Carter Hart-207
L 1-3 at Boston BruinsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • BOS: Jeremy Swayman+160
W 6-5 at Buffalo SabresTBL: Brian Elliott • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-145
W 2-5 vs St. Louis BluesSTL: Jordan Binnington • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-185
L 5-3 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-107

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMorgan RiellyIR
  • DJordie BennIR
  • CCalle JarnkrokOut
  • DTJ BrodieIR

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWRudolfs BalcersIR
  • CAnthony CirelliProbable
  • LWCole KoepkeIR
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+110+118+115+120+110+120+120+118.7
Tampa Bay-130-131-135-133-130-133-130-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+105+100+115+110+110+115+115+118.7
Tampa Bay-125-120-126-130-130-125-120-118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 20.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto ML
Tampa Bay ML moved from -125 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toronto ML
Tampa Bay ML moved from -120 to -126

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-185+1½-222+1½-230+1½-215+1½-230+1½-215+1½-215+1½-202
Tampa Bay-1½+160-1½+193-1½+190-1½+185-1½+190-1½+185-1½+193-1½+202
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-235+1½-240+1½-222+1½-220+1½-240+1½-220+1½-220+1½-202
Tampa Bay-1½+205-1½+200-1½+194-1½+190-1½+200-1½+195-1½+200-1½+202

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-120o6-103o6-105o6+104o6+100o6+104o6+104o6+109
Underu6½+100u6-113u6-115u6-115u6-120u6-115u6-113u6-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-120o6-105o6-105o6+100o6-105o6-105o6+100o6+109
Underu6+100u6-115u6-115u6-120u6-115u6-115u6-115u6-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-108 to o6-115
The Under moved from u6-105 to u6-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6+100 to u6-110