Toronto at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5
43.5%56.5%
Toronto WinTampa Bay Win
2.92Projected Goals 3.63
4Final Score 6
Rank6
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5
Rank6
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Martin Jones

StartsRecordSV%GAA
1811-7-10.9082.70

Matt Tomkins

StartsRecordSV%GAA
52-2-10.8910.89

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 2-5 at Florida PanthersTOR: Joseph Woll • FLA: Anthony Stolarz+151
L 5-4 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Alex Lyon • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-160
L 6-5 vs New Jersey DevilsNJD: Jake Allen • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-190
W 5-2 at New Jersey DevilsTOR: Joseph Woll • NJD: Jake Allen-131
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Alex Nedeljkovic • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-131
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Buffalo SabresBUF: Eric Comrie • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-165
L 2-4 at Washington CapitalsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • WSH: Charlie Lindgren-135
L 3-2 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Anton Forsberg • TBL: Matt Tomkins-161
W 2-5 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Jet Greaves • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-330
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PenguinsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • PIT: Alex Nedeljkovic-108

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DMorgan RiellyOut
  • CAuston MatthewsProbable
  • DJake McCabeOut
  • DJoel EdmundsonOut
  • CMax DomiOut
  • CBobby McMannOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • GOJonas JohanssonOut
  • CLuke GlendeningOut
  • GOMatt TomkinsUnknown
  • CTyler MotteOut
  • DHaydn FleuryOut
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+110+103+100+102+100+102+103+108.0
Tampa Bay-130-119-120-115-120-115-115-108.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+105+102+103+115+115+106+115+108.0
Tampa Bay-125-122-113-135-135-116-113-108.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +113 to +106
Tampa Bay ML moved from -125 to -135

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Toronto: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 80.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from +112 to +106
Tampa Bay ML moved from -133 to -145

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-225+1½-222+1½-230+1½-228+1½-225+1½-228+1½-222+1½-207
Tampa Bay-1½+185-1½+193-1½+190-1½+198-1½+185-1½+198-1½+198-1½+207
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto+1½-220+1½-200+1½-228+1½-200+1½-200+1½-230+1½-200+1½-207
Tampa Bay-1½+190-1½+175-1½+200-1½+170-1½+175-1½+195-1½+200-1½+207

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½-138o7+115o6½-135o6½-135o6½-135o6½-135o6½-125
Underu6½-120u6½+122u7-135u6½+117u6½+115u6½+117u7-135u6½+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½-125o6½-140o6½-120o6½-120o6½-135o6½-120o6½-125
Underu6½-120u6½+105u6½+120u6½+100u6½+100u6½+115u6½+120u6½+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½+102 to o6½-118
The Under moved from u6½-112 to u6½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under